F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a6f27abc37f7ca32709ac8e8f0d43e8c9e4a96a62cfc5b8b3de072bc62777e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 72c | 534.85$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.41 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 28c | 490.7$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.45 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b0c1backed No | 60c | 136.38$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 40c | 136.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked Yes | 34c | 99.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 34c | 78.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa32c…d1bdbacked No | 65c | 76.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed No | 66c | 75.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 34c | 65.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 35c | 63.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…9574backed No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 67c | 53.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d79…1bafbacked No | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 27c | 38.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 35c | 32.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…87a3backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Arvid Lindblad finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.