F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb39f7ce503ad15b49f612754481a82dd0cb82d32d90e6e1bafa66343a584da8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 39c | 3,548$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.34 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 59c | 2,793$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.1 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 61c | 853.08$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.51 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Yes | 49c | 369.92$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…3e26backed Yes | 49c | 295.16$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 37c | 256.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b0c1backed No | 58c | 191.2$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4886…f7cdbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 38c | 123.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Yes | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa23b…af4bbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 34c | 87.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…653abacked Yes | 62c | 81.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed No | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Yes | 73c | 68.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…e4c2backed No | 70c | 52.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes | 47c | 21.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Arvid Lindblad finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.