World Politics · resolved market
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x286a4aab5b6374b155ac54b0eec6775e46a180ffa627f8b6ba00af794dfca41a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed No | 3c | 7,374$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.41 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…fd91backed No | 4c | 5,977$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.29 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 5,123$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.19 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked No | 12c | 2,967$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.71 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +11.9wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 49c | 2,953$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.68 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…d7a0backed Yes | 18c | 2,559$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +454.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae93…7120backed No | 9c | 2,359$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…6677backed No | 9c | 2,151$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.55 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…a821backed No | 51c | 1,867$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9863…3786backed No | 3c | 1,827$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…01f5backed No | 11c | 1,822$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed No | 12c | 1,753$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…1075backed Yes | 20c | 1,535$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +395.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…dde5backed No | 76c | 1,518$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 18c | 1,500$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.28 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…8a4ebacked No | 3c | 1,500$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…637bbacked No | 4c | 1,303$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked No | 2c | 1,206$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…c6bebacked Yes | 21c | 1,128$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.04 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked No | 2c | 1,119$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 12c | 956.61$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.07 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed No | 6c | 952.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 24c | 832$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 43c | 766.58$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.5 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +15.2wins | +0.28per pick | 31cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 3c | 766.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked No | 2c | 754.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked No | 12c | 682.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…505ebacked Yes | 25c | 615.79$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +297.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc9…df11backed Yes | 26c | 604.16$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7754…e39abacked No | 74c | 604.16$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…b536backed Yes | 16c | 532.01$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +542.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…f66fbacked No | 10c | 500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.30per pick | 11cpaid | +459.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2177…3fb4backed No | 66c | 485.38$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.98 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…23a6backed No | 5c | 442.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked No | 3c | 421.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb1…acc2backed No | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 65c | 384.17$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.26 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c99…6efbbacked Yes | 22c | 370$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 23c | 369.23$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.41 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…c74abacked Yes | 13c | 352.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +672.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c45…2cfdbacked Yes | 26c | 346.37$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33b…9105backed Yes | 30c | 334.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…ab96backed Yes | 20c | 279.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 17c | 266.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.07 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…65e5backed No | 76c | 264.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cc…ed73backed No | 74c | 262.69$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…0117backed Yes | 26c | 262.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4f…d501backed No | 6c | 262.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8952…1f26backed No | 79c | 252.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 77c | 248.01$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.25 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 17c | 236.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.74 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 235.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.25 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 20c | 232.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.14 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbac8…2cecbacked Yes | 23c | 225.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +361.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…70adbacked Yes | 21c | 224.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +368.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…e7f9backed Yes | 22c | 224.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 22c | 221.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.7 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked No | 68c | 199.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…9e3abacked Yes | 21c | 193.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +383.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fda…b819backed No | 7c | 188.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 20c | 178.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x485f…bccabacked Yes | 26c | 173.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…10dcbacked No | 74c | 173.64$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…bdb8backed No | 32c | 172.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…cd14backed No | 15c | 164.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…6264backed No | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d71…8ce9backed Yes | 25c | 157.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6491…74b2backed Yes | 33c | 150.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.42 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +101%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…2de3backed No | 74c | 143.93$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…1e6dbacked Yes | 26c | 143.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…e9a7backed Yes | 15c | 141.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c6…55eabacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1526…d77cbacked No | 75c | 132.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c9…2c3ebacked Yes | 21c | 130$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ae…3255backed Yes | 13c | 126.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +643.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…0dbcbacked Yes | 27c | 122.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked No | 74c | 119.57$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3d…4d47backed Yes | 16c | 112.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +213.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20a…6bf5backed Yes | 36c | 111.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +175.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…24debacked No | 65c | 108.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ff…50eebacked Yes | 34c | 107.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +197.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…a499backed Yes | 19c | 106.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +433.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…aff4backed No | 78c | 102.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…e44ebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 18c | 98.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b10…e48fbacked No | 77c | 95.83$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…971bbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417a…d2dcbacked Yes | 23c | 94.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +333.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7010…eedebacked No | 15c | 94.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed No | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 58c | 89.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 73c | 87.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1f…9dc5backed No | 49c | 83.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…a25ebacked Yes | 24c | 83.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +318.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa0…dea3backed Yes | 24c | 82.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +311.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…fd5ebacked No | 63c | 81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +87%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…e714backed No | 80c | 80.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcc…619cbacked Yes | 15c | 78.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 12cpaid | +594.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…33a9backed Yes | 23c | 77.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +343.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7762…a8debacked Yes | 17c | 74.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.