Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x885af440160b32c882027f0ed610b6a9b311262a6a0518fa9529a050f078fad2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd0d…7ec8backed No | 21c | 22,023$4,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,629.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 70c | 21,772$15,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,510.84 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 64c | 17,500$11,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,287.61 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 14c | 13,476$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.79 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked No | 15c | 9,300$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed No | 2c | 8,307$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.07 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79bf…bcdfbacked No | 41c | 7,663$3,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 31c | 5,519$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.3 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 13c | 3,711$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…1baebacked No | 49c | 3,490$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed No | 4c | 3,100$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…194bbacked No | 23c | 3,062$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked No | 3c | 2,936$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.17 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d5…c665backed No | 11c | 2,815$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…eda2backed No | 31c | 2,657$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…aeecbacked No | 4c | 2,609$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 73c | 2,444$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.59 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 37c | 2,183$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.19 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 35c | 2,158$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked No | 1c | 2,020$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 51c | 1,999$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc082…eb9bbacked No | 25c | 1,983$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed No | 10c | 1,936$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked No | 14c | 1,776$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed21…eeaebacked No | 5c | 1,600$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed No | 9c | 1,408$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 11c | 1,333$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.3 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 69c | 1,251$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.1 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked No | 46c | 1,161$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfef4…29bdbacked No | 40c | 1,156$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed No | 36c | 1,052$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 34c | 1,031$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.65 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed No | 7c | 988.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 945.05$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.26 | 497 | 11.5%57 W · 440 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…b6abbacked No | 7c | 701.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…6857backed No | 32c | 700$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…ac9bbacked No | 28c | 679$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed No | 22c | 636.89$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 3c | 631$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 15c | 536.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 71c | 514$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.9 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked No | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed Yes | 68c | 399.99$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…85b8backed No | 34c | 386.92$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9507…7b04backed No | 8c | 384.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4513…5a38backed Yes | 71c | 353.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 33c | 331.03$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed Yes | 63c | 304.69$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cc…feb0backed No | 17c | 280.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3387…c3f7backed No | 48c | 278.75$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 10c | 270$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…cf51backed No | 38c | 255.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…fdabbacked No | 6c | 246.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…7219backed No | 32c | 243.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 21c | 221.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 7c | 220$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 104 | 2.9%3 W · 101 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked No | 5c | 219.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 104 | 1%1 W · 103 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 81 | 6.2%5 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 8c | 197.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked No | 35c | 193.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 10c | 180.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…98b4backed No | 43c | 175.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 13c | 157.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 20c | 154.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 9c | 151$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 250 | 30.8%77 W · 173 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…f125backed No | 32c | 132.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed No | 34c | 124.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc045…95b2backed No | 24c | 110.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked No | 33c | 102.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…ab9bbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 52c | 93.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 50c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…7442backed No | 32c | 89.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 31c | 88.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed No | 16c | 81.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d03…9d52backed No | 32c | 74.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…5ee9backed No | 36c | 69.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…5dd2backed No | 32c | 60.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…45e3backed Yes | 57c | 60.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ba…5b5ebacked Yes | 66c | 59.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…992bbacked No | 22c | 57.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked No | 36c | 54.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…6ddabacked No | 38c | 52.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 22c | 52.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…9b8cbacked No | 39c | 50.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…e0c2backed No | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +150%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad5b…faddbacked No | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…bd53backed No | 57c | 42.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 32c | 40.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked No | 34c | 39.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b88…e2eebacked No | 49c | 35.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa349…a150backed No | 43c | 26.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…ed99backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?this page
- Will Chi Ossé win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.