Ukraine · resolved market
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb334e65ea89ee98ce533a4dde88d013737526c1ab3c9b123dd023e19aa07dd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $238,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 52c | 20,735$10,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,700.81 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 79c | 7,872$6,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +101%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 76c | 7,043$5,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.58 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 5,199$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 41c | 5,018$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,942.16 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 52c | 4,993$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.4 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed No | 24c | 4,717$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.23 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab49…34e6backed No | 0c | 4,711$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 21c | 4,670$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,674.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 17c | 4,661$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.37 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 12c | 4,219$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,701 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80b…b047backed No | 3c | 4,040$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb03f…c592backed No | 79c | 3,827$3,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,006.83 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d78…4cc1backed No | 79c | 3,746$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…5057backed No | 8c | 3,190$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 73c | 2,923$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.93 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 65c | 2,747$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.03 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 5c | 2,583$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…b220backed Yes | 21c | 2,500$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.73 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb98…6d3cbacked No | 70c | 2,480$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…294cbacked Yes | 19c | 2,319$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.84 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…1f6ebacked No | 18c | 2,296$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.36 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 34cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked No | 21c | 2,251$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.97 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 73c | 2,245$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.67 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…be23backed No | 12c | 2,092$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 1c | 1,854$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 1c | 1,809$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc70…cc56backed No | 57c | 1,725$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 49c | 1,704$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 25c | 1,642$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.56 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed No | 3c | 1,541$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes | 13c | 1,523$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 9cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3f3cbacked No | 71c | 1,450$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.12 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc39…8ad8backed Yes | 35c | 1,440$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +296.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb2…4ccdbacked No | 22c | 1,274$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 24c | 1,267$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.24 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6d…3ec5backed No | 17c | 1,265$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f08…73a8backed Yes | 39c | 1,200$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +266.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 40c | 1,199$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.6 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…7718backed No | 9c | 1,164$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 74c | 1,163$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.87 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd414…a4dbbacked Yes | 30c | 1,017$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,005$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.95 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +154.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf476…8cefbacked No | 71c | 999.96$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…6838backed Yes | 20c | 977.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +388.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed No | 11c | 971.74$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed No | 29c | 938$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 63c | 921.62$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.24 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…a04cbacked Yes | 32c | 905.97$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 17cpaid | +187.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…e9cdbacked No | 34c | 901.03$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…9e4abacked Yes | 17c | 864.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 25cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…e0e7backed No | 26c | 851.1$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 55c | 846.91$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.45 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe99c…725ebacked Yes | 15c | 836.51$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799f…4301backed No | 30c | 818.93$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked Yes | 30c | 770.82$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.82 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +4.1wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +489.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed No | 70c | 754.74$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +190%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 4c | 749.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +400%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed Yes | 16c | 709.97$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c31…9b89backed No | 7c | 697.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fb…6675backed No | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54d…ab3dbacked No | 32c | 627.52$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 26c | 623$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…e252backed No | 71c | 622.92$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…d6f8backed Yes | 19c | 599.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +435.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d51…6f1fbacked Yes | 57c | 580.08$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 25c | 569.09$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.66 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 23c | 556.64$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.36 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…0587backed No | 71c | 554.72$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.6 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 14c | 553.3$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 24cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 6c | 531.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 9c | 518.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 13cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…f028backed No | 20c | 509.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 28c | 507.23$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.21 | 122 | 25.4%31 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked No | 20c | 501.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 23c | 490.37$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.91 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 21c | 489.83$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.97 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…8579backed No | 74c | 483.85$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.07 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…1a6dbacked No | 41c | 468.5$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…4f72backed No | 9c | 453.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…3607backed No | 4c | 450$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ea…e2a2backed No | 29c | 441.81$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked Yes | 57c | 423$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +392.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Yes | 28c | 410$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.3 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…c006backed No | 8c | 378.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…f147backed Yes | 14c | 374.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.63 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 30c | 372.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.19 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9aa…35ccbacked Yes | 26c | 370$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 13cpaid | +331.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…ce76backed Yes | 77c | 364.37$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed Yes | 62c | 359.96$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.21 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…e573backed Yes | 34c | 352.94$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +511.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd640…480cbacked Yes | 19c | 341.35$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324b…f6cabacked No | 41c | 339.51$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e8…7b51backed No | 7c | 331$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…7e94backed No | 71c | 329.72$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 21c | 324.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?this page
- Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.