AI · resolved market
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a27905b4292e8468cae30c89875cd34d28ff5c7dda77359894512caa2da76a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66f3…3dadbacked No | 26c | 2,755$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fc…6742backed Yes | 1c | 2,625$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked No | 50c | 2,175$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.23 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 21c | 1,924$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.2 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 32c | 1,823$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.87 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked No | 16c | 1,779$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.51 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked No | 74c | 1,725$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.37 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No | 57c | 1,477$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 75c | 1,376$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.03 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 43c | 1,361$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.86 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 76c | 1,326$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.92 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…cc13backed Yes | 47c | 1,258$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…a22bbacked No | 26c | 1,150$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 30c | 1,119$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.31 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +124%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 64c | 1,098$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 44c | 817.98$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.92 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 44c | 718.94$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…af47backed Yes | 73c | 715.57$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Yes | 47c | 618.07$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.63 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9db3…1d38backed Yes | 58c | 612.4$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 33c | 586.4$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 79c | 582.64$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…51aabacked No | 40c | 570.88$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 27c | 570.78$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.01 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…99c7backed No | 35c | 542.81$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 52c | 464$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 66c | 424$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.44 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 56c | 408.19$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5a…7842backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 76c | 378.1$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.98 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 53c | 338$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.08 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…40c0backed No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…f954backed No | 38c | 303.86$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.19 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +13.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x049a…b22abacked No | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +203%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…6034backed Yes | 79c | 299.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed No | 17c | 276.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…d92dbacked Yes | 66c | 276.48$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb83…96a7backed No | 44c | 264.14$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 14c | 250$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed No | 31c | 235.2$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.42 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…a8ffbacked No | 41c | 225$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…dc63backed No | 41c | 220.68$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 34c | 212.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.61 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2574…144bbacked No | 50c | 202$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0670…09c7backed Yes | 72c | 200$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…3c55backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…4421backed Yes | 72c | 190$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 33c | 188.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0314…2f6dbacked No | 32c | 184.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda5…ee3abacked Yes | 39c | 178$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6599…efebbacked No | 31c | 177.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019f…1152backed No | 27c | 177$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +342.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 25c | 162.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.12 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…593abacked Yes | 74c | 161.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 24c | 156.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.87 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…1752backed Yes | 66c | 150.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf2…fb50backed Yes | 68c | 147.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Yes | 69c | 140.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 76c | 132.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24c…32f4backed Yes | 67c | 131.36$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked No | 34c | 130$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…bc0cbacked No | 24c | 124.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…4d35backed No | 72c | 119.55$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c9…1c13backed Yes | 69c | 115.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 33c | 114.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…c497backed Yes | 36c | 111.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Yes | 70c | 110.69$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 29c | 108.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0413…8180backed No | 45c | 107$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…f5a6backed Yes | 58c | 101.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce4…b401backed Yes | 76c | 101.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x130d…3205backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…e72fbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…d056backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +1,240.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc704…045cbacked Yes | 75c | 97.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 53c | 94.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0834backed No | 55c | 90.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…1b3dbacked Yes | 53c | 85.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 26c | 81.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ec…5f73backed No | 27c | 75.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…8f74backed No | 28c | 71.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…7decbacked No | 36c | 66.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…673ebacked Yes | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…232cbacked No | 19c | 62.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +416.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb249…70b5backed No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…6e35backed No | 41c | 60.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…179abacked No | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 78c | 57.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 24c | 57.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87f…864dbacked Yes | 73c | 56.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 31c | 56.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cca6backed No | 25c | 55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x151c…87b2backed Yes | 72c | 53.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…891fbacked Yes | 58c | 52.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?this page
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 25?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 26?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 27?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by June 30?No won
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.