AI · resolved market
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda7b6ebafc876ddff0dd1d1367dc045fa619bfef205631e1eda78a8b71ad5026
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc03…d5c0backed No | 30c | 13,592$4,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,092.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…131ebacked No | 1c | 7,581$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 74c | 5,972$4,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.43 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 71c | 4,888$3,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…f5a6backed Yes | 71c | 4,100$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Yes | 33c | 2,477$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.67 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…a8ffbacked Yes | 66c | 1,378$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x244b…d87fbacked Yes | 77c | 1,223$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.92 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…d056backed Yes | 66c | 1,107$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +1,240.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 27c | 1,028$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.45 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 63c | 984.88$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.72 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 59c | 983.94$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.54 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 28c | 893.79$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.06 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 22c | 886.79$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.81 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 19c | 808.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.71 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 77c | 650$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda5…ee3abacked Yes | 42c | 602.87$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.94 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524d…4495backed Yes | 69c | 578.16$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…ce86backed Yes | 73c | 551.1$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b11…38e8backed Yes | 72c | 522.36$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed No | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.8 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 46c | 454.6$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.19 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +124%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 20c | 448.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.92 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed No | 57c | 447.03$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.67 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5c…c2e0backed No | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed No | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…db87backed Yes | 78c | 385.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.73 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5793…6977backed Yes | 73c | 357.26$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…75d6backed Yes | 80c | 347.5$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 26c | 318.67$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c93…aafabacked No | 60c | 259.11$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf3…1412backed No | 30c | 254.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 76c | 245$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…a68cbacked Yes | 50c | 243$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.72 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…6381backed Yes | 72c | 223.79$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes | 64c | 209.98$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 76c | 206$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 13c | 205.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bd…ceaabacked No | 61c | 202.79$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…ac29backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96be…9947backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 35c | 199.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 32c | 199.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 17c | 189$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe17d…7c1abacked No | 32c | 188.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 27c | 165.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0314…2f6dbacked No | 23c | 163.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…2f6dbacked Yes | 73c | 162$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Yes | 72c | 153.15$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked Yes | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5a…7842backed No | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 77c | 147.94$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed No | 24c | 140.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…9a17backed Yes | 76c | 136.7$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 27c | 136.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2d…6d8dbacked Yes | 71c | 136.49$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf2…fb50backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 24c | 127.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 77c | 125$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -10.6wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 74c | 120.11$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -13.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…bed6backed Yes | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb30…cfdbbacked Yes | 71c | 112.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 22c | 109$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked Yes | 69c | 105$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…5409backed No | 62c | 101.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…d714backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a4…5c9ebacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6159backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd83f…03b1backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…768cbacked Yes | 78c | 91.08$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…ea5cbacked No | 23c | 80.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -11.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…23b2backed Yes | 71c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 30c | 73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…7f6ebacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…79fbbacked Yes | 70c | 62.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ae…bad5backed Yes | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 27c | 57.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74de…72e8backed Yes | 70c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…d6a2backed No | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…a252backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cd…d7d8backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c9b6backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 75c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…3651backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e9…441abacked Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f8…f76ebacked Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?this page
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 25?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 26?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 27?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.