AI · resolved market
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a8e093b25d7909ae01e944e746a1dee88801224fcff001c1c890ca43e2a66e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $845,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $505,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $845,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x876b…1703backed Yes | 8c | 79,802$6,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,772.03 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…c7c8backed Yes | 0c | 75,651$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 60,983$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 10c | 59,237$6,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,073.35 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 10c | 23,746$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.05 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 21,877$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked Yes | 9c | 20,285$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.8 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…6fa0backed Yes | 10c | 19,029$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 7c | 17,541$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.66 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 0c | 16,665$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 10c | 14,194$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.35 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Yes | 10c | 14,044$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.39 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 8c | 10,218$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.11 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 10,200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 9c | 9,458$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.26 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 12c | 7,817$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.41 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +12.9wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 9c | 7,420$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.94 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…3741backed Yes | 4c | 6,404$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.12 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…b789backed Yes | 3c | 6,144$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.63 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed Yes | 5c | 6,005$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 9c | 5,943$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.99 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 6c | 5,899$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.04 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 11c | 5,200$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 5,077$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 10c | 5,071$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.65 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 13c | 5,065$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.24 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…0e31backed Yes | 11c | 4,738$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Yes | 12c | 4,478$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.73 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 6c | 4,254$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.05 | 79 | 6.3%5 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed Yes | 8c | 4,019$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.8 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed Yes | 9c | 4,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.95 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 10c | 3,923$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.97 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 10c | 3,894$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.78 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77ea…324cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,877$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x647f…c4d1backed Yes | 5c | 3,732$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…21bfbacked Yes | 7c | 3,685$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,432$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 3,311$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…7269backed Yes | 5c | 3,297$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 8c | 3,114$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.87 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…af90backed Yes | 0c | 3,110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 8c | 3,001$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.16 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 11c | 3,000$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 10c | 2,835$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.29 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 9c | 2,594$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.16 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…a595backed Yes | 1c | 2,433$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 10c | 2,419$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.95 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked Yes | 8c | 2,200$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…1baebacked Yes | 12c | 2,000$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 9c | 1,960$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.95 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3788…fc25backed Yes | 1c | 1,900$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Yes | 10c | 1,870$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.61 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 10c | 1,812$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.22 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 9c | 1,746$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes | 6c | 1,681$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,677$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 1c | 1,600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a4…8229backed Yes | 12c | 1,550$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 1,528$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 9c | 1,500$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 12c | 1,386$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.64 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Yes | 1c | 1,349$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,333$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…f954backed Yes | 11c | 1,256$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.41 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +13.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5849…a99ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,235$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…b886backed Yes | 2c | 1,177$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +348.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2184…00dfbacked Yes | 8c | 1,153$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e75cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,137$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.69 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 12c | 1,135$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…421abacked Yes | 7c | 1,122$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…8f70backed Yes | 1c | 1,016$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…3fbfbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 12c | 999.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 11c | 999.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…4282backed Yes | 8c | 974.7$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 10c | 950.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 2c | 936.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 11c | 899.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed Yes | 12c | 871.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 4c | 860.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3d…fea1backed Yes | 7c | 840$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Yes | 7c | 823.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5144…37c9backed Yes | 12c | 819.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…50c3backed Yes | 11c | 813.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 8c | 799.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…649fbacked Yes | 9c | 784.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 6c | 783.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…c03dbacked Yes | 8c | 741.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 8c | 732.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…8477backed Yes | 10c | 717.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes | 6c | 715.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked Yes | 12c | 703.57$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 2c | 690.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…99e9backed Yes | 11c | 686.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 11c | 682.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.41 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5629…de17backed Yes | 4c | 664.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes won
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.