AI · resolved market
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed5356b5d6f3b0d1095e21d586214de01b438ccb8d0ae5c59b55647d8fc95e97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $953,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $502,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $953,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6413…ab24backed Yes | 3c | 48,639$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 4c | 34,864$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.16 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3d…fea1backed Yes | 2c | 33,635$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.7 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…9f9fbacked Yes | 1c | 33,574$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.78 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 1c | 22,431$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -59%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked Yes | 5c | 22,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…1703backed Yes | 3c | 21,473$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.53 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 2c | 20,465$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.83 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 2c | 20,330$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.91 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 17,945$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 17,400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.05 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 3c | 13,100$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.6 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0b…06acbacked Yes | 3c | 11,574$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 2c | 11,411$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 2c | 10,850$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.15 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,820$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.78 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 10,092$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.45 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…1faabacked Yes | 4c | 10,000$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.82 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -88%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7992…48bfbacked Yes | 2c | 9,847$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 8,400$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 1c | 8,228$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 7,498$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.61 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…e353backed Yes | 3c | 7,419$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…cb46backed Yes | 2c | 7,400$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,384$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…21bfbacked Yes | 2c | 6,619$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0019…6629backed Yes | 2c | 6,378$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Yes | 3c | 6,063$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…5219backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 5,796$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Yes | 2c | 5,646$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 5,444$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.01 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e75cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,441$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.28 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked Yes | 3c | 5,290$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.09 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…7c88backed Yes | 4c | 5,215$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…5637backed Yes | 2c | 5,079$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.04 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…5340backed Yes | 5c | 4,852$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…ab44backed Yes | 2c | 4,783$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 2c | 4,770$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.57 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…93a4backed Yes | 2c | 4,693$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…d079backed Yes | 0c | 4,544$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,459$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 3c | 4,425$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.76 | 79 | 6.3%5 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffd…e26bbacked Yes | 3c | 4,377$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Yes | 2c | 4,317$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x746a…96e2backed Yes | 5c | 4,278$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,228$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…f942backed Yes | 2c | 4,167$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 4c | 4,110$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.51 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…400dbacked Yes | 5c | 4,085$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 2c | 4,037$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 0c | 3,900$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3871…f0c7backed Yes | 3c | 3,733$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…b040backed Yes | 0c | 3,702$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14d…8e78backed Yes | 1c | 3,618$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b4…8383backed Yes | 1c | 3,611$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…a595backed Yes | 1c | 3,347$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,302$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.58 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…b645backed Yes | 3c | 3,256$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…12dabacked Yes | 6c | 3,251$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…b464backed Yes | 2c | 3,241$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…77d6backed Yes | 3c | 3,221$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 1c | 3,170$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…8477backed Yes | 8c | 3,146$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…78bdbacked Yes | 4c | 3,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…0b14backed Yes | 3c | 2,954$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…d79cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,928$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e8…64b9backed Yes | 1c | 2,893$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…8220backed Yes | 2c | 2,717$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 2c | 2,607$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 3c | 2,600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…0e17backed Yes | 1c | 2,484$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 2c | 2,474$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 2,463$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…fe7cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,462$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c8…9617backed Yes | 3c | 2,400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb48…be6dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,397$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1f…a246backed Yes | 3c | 2,282$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9142…a905backed Yes | 1c | 2,273$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…e4ecbacked Yes | 4c | 2,159$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9c…0002backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Yes | 2c | 2,090$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa148…f655backed Yes | 5c | 2,049$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 2,040$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,038$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…19cabacked Yes | 1c | 2,023$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…20abbacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…421abacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c1…40d7backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13db…3e4dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,998$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…309cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,992$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 1,950$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…ab9bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,792$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…55fdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,758$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a6…7e29backed Yes | 2c | 1,732$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…7670backed Yes | 6c | 1,721$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…c8a6backed Yes | 3c | 1,709$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…cde1backed Yes | 3c | 1,687$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,685$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes won
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.