Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52929aa7afbb6f06ced9a5271753d89b7ee76b8a18bacf1f874b316231b00503
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 26c | 8,277$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.35 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 10c | 7,052$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.33 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 29c | 3,742$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.16 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…0c67backed Yes | 7c | 3,370$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.72 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 68c | 1,800$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 61c | 1,161$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.74 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6c…287fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,148$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 66c | 810$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.4 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 64c | 718.96$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.13 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf912…e132backed Yes | 2c | 713.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 63c | 711.71$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +121%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 48c | 675.58$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.48 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 55c | 528.5$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.83 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 55c | 503.44$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.84 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 69c | 487.74$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.91 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…fa97backed Yes | 25c | 486.55$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 20c | 374.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 76c | 350$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.35 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 51c | 327.46$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…3d45backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…5ea2backed Yes | 20c | 265.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 63c | 246.52$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.83 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 314 | 34.1%107 W · 207 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 32c | 177$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 77c | 169.08$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 24c | 165.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…dcd9backed Yes | 20c | 145$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 23c | 142.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6706…2341backed Yes | 10c | 134.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Yes | 23c | 133.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…b3b6backed Yes | 10c | 122.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x290a…0994backed Yes | 10c | 120.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 28cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed No | 56c | 119$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 39c | 119$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 449 | 35.2%158 W · 291 L | -37.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 77c | 117.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 109$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 79c | 107.83$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 10c | 104.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 23c | 101.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…b81bbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…ea35backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…41bebacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 78c | 85.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 20c | 82.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 67c | 80.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2543…f49fbacked No | 79c | 62.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edd…013cbacked Yes | 25c | 60.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd6…2784backed Yes | 23c | 59.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde88…144cbacked Yes | 20c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 39c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcb…54b1backed Yes | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34db…2e01backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa935…e865backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53f8…f76ebacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c1…2356backed Yes | 51c | 49.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed Yes | 49c | 45.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed No | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed No | 65c | 40.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…206ebacked Yes | 37c | 40.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4e…f93abacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…08ccbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ee…a2e3backed Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Yes | 57c | 33.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb598…14fcbacked No | 77c | 30.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…2e46backed Yes | 66c | 26.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…cb5ebacked No | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 59c | 22.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd06…a977backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 228 | 48.7%111 W · 117 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5705…4652backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…5a56backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…e307backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec49…5975backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ccd0backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 61c | 19.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 79c | 18.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 95 | 78.9%75 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 79c | 15.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2657…bad1backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?this page
- Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.