Movies · resolved market
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9187612b8404697d93c59f837ccffae848d317a159168c9e3cbb36be1078d6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb028…8686backed No | 73c | 5,007$3,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,636.93 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…b5b5backed Yes | 55c | 3,870$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.9 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 20c | 3,122$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.74 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 70c | 3,082$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.62 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 28c | 2,736$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.26 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 47c | 2,668$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.85 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…a04ebacked No | 16c | 2,598$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.2 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,683$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.44 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 61c | 1,527$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.26 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.69 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed No | 70c | 1,467$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.67 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 55c | 1,368$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.33 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 10c | 1,200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 43c | 1,111$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.51 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…35cebacked Yes | 21c | 1,002$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.44 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 64c | 910.08$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.09 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 74c | 819.99$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.7 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…7fa8backed No | 46c | 819.58$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.79 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 8c | 805.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e6…8e78backed Yes | 58c | 719.37$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.33 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 23c | 717.42$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.55 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 38c | 670.19$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.55 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 42c | 607.18$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.05 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 11c | 585.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.99 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 43c | 497.2$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.06 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…72e9backed No | 46c | 496.8$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.96 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked Yes | 38c | 426.63$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.57 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bd…300dbacked Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 28c | 392.59$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.01 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f23…dc0cbacked No | 77c | 376$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 39c | 360.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.54 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 30c | 354.19$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.97 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 47c | 320.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 20c | 311.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…a06bbacked Yes | 80c | 310.1$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 69c | 301$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.75 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…1024backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 24c | 261.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 68c | 250$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed Yes | 72c | 241.68$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked No | 31c | 229.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 55c | 216$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.32 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 61c | 215$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.46 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Yes | 45c | 206.93$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.42 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed No | 76c | 201.81$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.47 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 35c | 201$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 25c | 198.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 34c | 193.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 44c | 179$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…a5d4backed Yes | 38c | 143.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +161.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc237…0432backed Yes | 74c | 135.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 51c | 123.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713c…41bbbacked Yes | 63c | 115.16$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 52c | 111$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 49c | 107$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df9…3a84backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1a…4c96backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…9bf7backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked Yes | 30c | 96.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…8969backed Yes | 47c | 90.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 69c | 89.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 37c | 85.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc5…52abbacked Yes | 63c | 84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 69c | 80.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 54c | 80.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 50c | 80.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5450…2a78backed No | 66c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…7636backed Yes | 35c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 73c | 69.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 58c | 69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 53c | 66.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…3ce8backed Yes | 46c | 60.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…fbb6backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e5…9749backed No | 31c | 58.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 68c | 54.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 111 | 84.7%94 W · 17 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf749…bcd4backed Yes | 37c | 54.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 32c | 51.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…76a4backed No | 30c | 49.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked Yes | 30c | 46.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 60c | 44.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 56c | 43.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 53c | 43.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…3e7abacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 32c | 39.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…b1b8backed Yes | 59c | 34.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed No | 60c | 33.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…0669backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ca…7605backed Yes | 72c | 28.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?this page
- Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?No won
- Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 33m and 36m?No won
- Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 36m?No won
- Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.