Movies · resolved market
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5817011b8883f1d0ba8fb01f8bdd10a75eae93de590d6731f00b4fdb2588519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 73c | 3,723$2,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.87 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…a04ebacked Yes | 19c | 3,198$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.73 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 3,173$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…72e9backed Yes | 17c | 3,094$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.48 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…b5b5backed Yes | 16c | 3,091$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.24 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 2,854$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.15 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 28c | 2,714$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.42 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,770$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.68 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 10c | 1,635$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.89 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 15c | 1,605$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.72 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,563$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.18 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…35cebacked Yes | 42c | 1,255$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,199$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 266 | 6.4%17 W · 249 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42e6…8e78backed Yes | 6c | 902.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 4c | 814.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…83b2backed Yes | 16c | 798.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…ebecbacked Yes | 7c | 635.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 64c | 598$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.71 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked Yes | 31c | 576.38$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.8 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 497$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 73c | 463.99$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 64c | 456$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.03 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 2c | 419.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa115…0a69backed Yes | 7c | 407.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 70c | 385.78$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.75 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 63c | 354$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.45 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 69c | 352.56$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.22 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5f…c111backed Yes | 43c | 346$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.49 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bd…300dbacked Yes | 39c | 304.51$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…1024backed Yes | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked No | 79c | 294.78$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 76c | 244.03$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 65c | 223$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…25cfbacked Yes | 8c | 191.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 76c | 180.95$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 71c | 175$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb043…9d41backed Yes | 12c | 166.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 17c | 164.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 9c | 153.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…92b9backed Yes | 7c | 149.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked Yes | 15c | 137.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…f388backed No | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 71c | 123.89$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Yes | 34c | 117.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 61c | 110.79$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed No | 79c | 98.72$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9214…a803backed Yes | 38c | 97.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 67c | 94.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 70c | 93.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked Yes | 14c | 81.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 74c | 79.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 63c | 78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 62c | 76.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 67c | 74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 68c | 67.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked No | 70c | 67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 61c | 66.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 61c | 63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 70c | 60.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 111 | 84.7%94 W · 17 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 43c | 53.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 74c | 46.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…b760backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5450…2a78backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 61c | 22.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?this page
- Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?Yes won
- Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 33m and 36m?No won
- Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 36m?No won
- Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.