Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd7e3fcf67c29a80b70a71c9285b57e5fc6fa8521dc5c0c7c1e714c3e3f7135e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8196…ab69backed Yes | 2c | 2,717$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e72…0306backed Yes | 4c | 2,468$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +212.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 13c | 1,746$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.5 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…0b91backed Yes | 5c | 1,317$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +208.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 9c | 1,015$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 17c | 992.45$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.75 | 81 | 11.1%9 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 6c | 788.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 23c | 772.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.82 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe98…1de4backed Yes | 28c | 707.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6d…3c85backed Yes | 29c | 700.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 12c | 696.73$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 12c | 592.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 591$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 8c | 546.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed Yes | 17c | 495.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.54 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 19c | 480.76$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 8c | 474.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 9c | 422.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes | 24c | 417.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 12c | 406.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 183 | 22.4%41 W · 142 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 10c | 352.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…b98ebacked Yes | 9c | 318.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 18c | 313.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a8…9bafbacked Yes | 20c | 306.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76a…9e82backed Yes | 9c | 292.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e11…b846backed Yes | 15c | 249.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 243$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd99c…ead4backed Yes | 10c | 219.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…ae77backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Yes | 27c | 185.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf85…86e1backed Yes | 9c | 184.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…3ffebacked Yes | 15c | 148.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…92f3backed Yes | 15c | 136.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…e12abacked No | 74c | 136.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…9d5cbacked Yes | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccb…bfcdbacked Yes | 18c | 110.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed Yes | 21c | 107.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…2553backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…1c9cbacked Yes | 20c | 99.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 71c | 17.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed No | 78c | 13.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…7ee7backed No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +203.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.