Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 IR Iran?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa0fc78ff4455964423f3e2efcd35b00655f8b965d4a584ec758132bb66e6431
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 33,050$4,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,727 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 18c | 4,148$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.44 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 14c | 3,198$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.79 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2878…466dbacked Yes | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc45…911fbacked Yes | 14c | 2,857$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…589cbacked Yes | 18c | 2,763$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.99 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,322$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.77 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,868$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.48 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 14c | 1,571$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,450$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes | 14c | 1,357$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 208 | 19.7%41 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,321$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…e1adbacked Yes | 14c | 1,102$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.23 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 15c | 1,090$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.8 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…b7d7backed Yes | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Yes | 18c | 999.94$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 16c | 880$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…41debacked Yes | 14c | 857.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Yes | 17c | 841.27$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 145 | 23.4%34 W · 111 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c41…d602backed Yes | 16c | 805.53$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…3463backed Yes | 14c | 714.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…f334backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…bd50backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 32.5%38 W · 79 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf53…2c81backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd2…68b0backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…5728backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea1…6fe9backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…49f1backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 17c | 700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d9…f3c0backed Yes | 14c | 696.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes | 13c | 588.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 174 | 16.1%28 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 17c | 586.51$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ca…a6ecbacked Yes | 16c | 575$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Yes | 14c | 571.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…9627backed Yes | 14c | 571.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 3c | 567.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 14c | 557.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 186 | 14.5%27 W · 159 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 17%26 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…e49abacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…abe7backed Yes | 18c | 554.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabef…1819backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 14c | 508.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6189…d6ebbacked Yes | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 10c | 495.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 14c | 490.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…7386backed Yes | 16c | 472.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…a35abacked Yes | 16c | 456.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d5…4b0abacked Yes | 14c | 420$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes | 3c | 374$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a0…aee2backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 158 | 36.7%58 W · 100 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ff…f2bebacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 29.7%71 W · 168 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa286…b3babacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…9591backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 20.6%28 W · 108 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…9627backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7169…aaf5backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 26.7%28 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad37…dbd6backed Yes | 14c | 352$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Yes | 14c | 335.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…9d46backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5473…f736backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 18.1%13 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…396bbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05fa…c771backed Yes | 18c | 315.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…cd64backed Yes | 16c | 306.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b0…1fedbacked Yes | 18c | 300.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd777…26b8backed Yes | 14c | 293.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…2317backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0be3backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…40c4backed Yes | 15c | 233.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 232 | 18.1%42 W · 190 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…33d5backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…c02fbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb9…14a8backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4841…1767backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…8de6backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 30.9%43 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496b…f9c6backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…90febacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4e…163ebacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9628…741cbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f3…6102backed Yes | 14c | 211.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…77cfbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 110 | 9.1%10 W · 100 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 16c | 199.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ca…8f0dbacked Yes | 14c | 192.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 14c | 185.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 IR Iran?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 IR Iran?Yes won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 3 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 3 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 2 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 3 IR Iran?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.