Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 IR Iran?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21fcca8fe82daedc5522e0930f994a683db202a77c21b6fbfea6ca19bc793078
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 11,989$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.64 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Yes | 19c | 10,328$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.16 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 4c | 10,320$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.8 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f8…2062backed Yes | 10c | 9,752$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.18 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…be52backed Yes | 7c | 4,690$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +188.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 7c | 4,199$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 19c | 3,681$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…bd80backed Yes | 4c | 2,381$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 8c | 2,213$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.48 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 7c | 1,311$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 4c | 1,279$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…2ff1backed Yes | 8c | 1,190$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 15.8%19 W · 101 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…e776backed Yes | 19c | 1,055$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 167 | 32.3%54 W · 113 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Yes | 11c | 997.53$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 282 | 24.1%68 W · 214 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…4dbfbacked Yes | 4c | 953.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 9c | 823.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 10c | 754.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 99 | 7.1%7 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df1…9d56backed Yes | 18c | 750.9$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.92 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3a…d724backed Yes | 4c | 749.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 9c | 741.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…9591backed Yes | 7c | 719.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 20.6%28 W · 108 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes | 6c | 700.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ff…f2bebacked Yes | 7c | 690.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 29.7%71 W · 168 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 18c | 670.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1134…572abacked Yes | 10c | 535.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…fe92backed Yes | 4c | 533.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…c922backed Yes | 20c | 510.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…04f7backed Yes | 6c | 489.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 21.8%34 W · 122 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 17c | 480.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9d…c720backed Yes | 4c | 476.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaaa…f79cbacked Yes | 9c | 469.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…16b9backed Yes | 4c | 446.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 5c | 426.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Yes | 11c | 367.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 224 | 21.9%49 W · 175 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883b…82c6backed Yes | 4c | 357.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…30fcbacked Yes | 4c | 357.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 220 | 32.3%71 W · 149 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Yes | 4c | 354.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…e080backed Yes | 19c | 332.49$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…736dbacked Yes | 4c | 325$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…f8fabacked Yes | 7c | 320$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…0a0bbacked Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 41 | 2.4%1 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286a…7136backed Yes | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 18c | 279.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3b…8355backed Yes | 7c | 272.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…41debacked Yes | 20c | 255.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc2…b720backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0340…f97dbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7f…f214backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…acffbacked Yes | 4c | 243.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcffc…eea5backed Yes | 4c | 243.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a9…7311backed Yes | 8c | 235.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda2d…a236backed Yes | 9c | 232.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…642cbacked Yes | 6c | 231.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…c525backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…9f09backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 180 | 2.8%5 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 15c | 193.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…a779backed Yes | 7c | 173.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…596dbacked Yes | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 20c | 151.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 9c | 148.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…6d0fbacked Yes | 15c | 134.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…f8c8backed Yes | 16c | 125.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58a…eac4backed Yes | 10c | 118.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 160 | 31.3%50 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…ed46backed Yes | 18c | 108.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe1…23c7backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…3b86backed Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a0…bc97backed Yes | 16c | 96.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…2e52backed Yes | 18c | 84.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 IR Iran?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 IR Iran?Yes won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 3 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 3 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 2 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 3 IR Iran?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.