TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 IR Iran?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,109
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,766

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,109 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes11c16,608$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.698,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00038817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Yes11c9,091$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes10c7,074$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.373,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes10c6,701$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.0935514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Yes11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55017034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes15c4,297$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.2151032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes7c3,375$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes11c3,010$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3216729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Yes10c2,120$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9711218.8%21 W · 91 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes11c1,572$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17531611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes5c1,402$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.632,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes10c1,395$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4778317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes11c1,315$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6829017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes12c1,314$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.6513742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05fa…c771backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104835.4%17 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11041429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd45f…c086backed Yes11c925.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005151%26 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022626.5%60 W · 166 L+0.9wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfd2…68b0backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007115.5%11 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a6…3463backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011723.1%27 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61e…396bbacked Yes13c854.47$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11080%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Yes11c772.73$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859417%16 W · 78 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes8c714.29$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5535612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4de9…41debacked Yes10c700$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704415.9%7 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad37…dbd6backed Yes11c690.12$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.91166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick17cpaid-81.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes9c659.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.331,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes9c547.54$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2835424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11be…7712backed Yes11c509.09$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5622620.4%46 W · 180 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Yes12c508.33$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6122914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ed…0cfabacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504318.6%8 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510720.6%22 W · 85 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78e1…e49abacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508433.3%28 W · 56 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2e…1e57backed Yes10c470$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabef…1819backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508225.6%21 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10f0…9fc0backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019640.3%79 W · 117 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe27…f562backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504440.9%18 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes8c431.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7534330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ff…f2bebacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023929.7%71 W · 168 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes10c384.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020825%52 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…17fcbacked Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409730.9%30 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d12…9591backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013620.6%28 W · 108 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021227.8%59 W · 153 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257142.3%30 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cda…de81backed Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258223.2%19 W · 63 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea8c…fd98backed Yes10c213.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.353844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fe…1471backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014818.9%28 W · 120 L-0.4wins0.00per pick19cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ad…a9ebbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef27…600fbacked Yes10c193.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3418354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6592…2767backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013718.2%25 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x779c…b96fbacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012322%27 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f4…238abacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017820.8%37 W · 141 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd23b…6efabacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207821.8%17 W · 61 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5246…cb03backed Yes10c180$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812128.1%34 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea96…693abacked Yes11c175.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2914940.3%60 W · 89 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf63a…d769backed Yes6c171.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.392810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-55.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0c0…a779backed Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159558.9%56 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes10c145$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.563229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb2…e33fbacked Yes11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152536%9 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1575630.4%230 W · 526 L-1.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c29…efe5backed Yes11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157315.1%11 W · 62 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35c7…6021backed Yes11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518625.3%47 W · 139 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513843.5%60 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes11c131$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4192732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c6…3947backed Yes11c127.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1415722.9%36 W · 121 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-39.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102003%6 W · 194 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes13c110.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.332,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a5f…618fbacked Yes11c109.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8f…3b86backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid+40%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x718f…bf95backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115614.3%8 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd878…4857backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116425%16 W · 48 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1212…2912backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027051.9%140 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c1…ddd6backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019932.2%64 W · 135 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ed…1d79backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd5…6a99backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011857.6%68 W · 50 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49e2…0124backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11283.6%1 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick10cpaid-78%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0177…01d6backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107832.1%25 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1729…6805backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109827.6%27 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5432…0144backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10424.8%2 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-58.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d92…42d7backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103020%6 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x868b…2106backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020626.2%54 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf66…3436backed Yes21c95.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204725.5%12 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e0…7c9abacked Yes16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1144…4b04backed No80c22.48$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.516349.7%81 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.