TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 IR Iran?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$254,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,645

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes11c59,023$6,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,753.098,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc45…911fbacked Yes12c28,674$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3002437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes11c10,049$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.9238817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes12c8,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006526.2%17 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a22…6c5cbacked Yes11c4,430$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.3330%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes12c4,313$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.5515337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes12c3,917$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4706729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes2c3,207$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75997.1%7 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a9…9e88backed Yes11c3,184$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.25324.5%13 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid+21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c41…eeb9backed Yes11c2,273$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508026.3%21 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes1c2,024$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.241137.1%8 W · 105 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes11c1,921$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.3567447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes11c1,750$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.541429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes12c1,674$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a64…3c0abacked Yes15c1,373$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004425%11 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdabd…b7d7backed Yes11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fa…e1adbacked Yes12c1,285$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.232619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15036024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51cf…106cbacked Yes11c1,132$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.515321.6%33 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe3f…abe7backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007910.1%8 W · 71 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4de9…41debacked Yes12c1,038$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204415.9%7 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11022813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11042710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020825%52 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes6c971.57$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.332,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…04f7backed Yes6c942.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015621.8%34 W · 122 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes2c910.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.142,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabef…1819backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008225.6%21 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5072…17bebacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011747%55 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb2…f51fbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004746.8%22 W · 25 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+37.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x488e…ab99backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007417.6%13 W · 61 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04f6…49f1backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008728.7%25 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes11c895.45$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.57131%22 W · 49 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe27…f562backed Yes11c871.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004440.9%18 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf53…2c81backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004818.8%9 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-57%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fca…c922backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012517.6%22 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfd2…68b0backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007115.5%11 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010234.3%35 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcda6…596dbacked Yes12c833$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.961618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-57.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ca…a6ecbacked Yes12c788.92$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.67588.6%5 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fed…c228backed Yes5c750$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.56529.2%19 W · 46 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x776f…32b7backed Yes11c681.82$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755226.9%14 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Yes11c680$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.821429.4%63 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes12c666.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8015836.7%58 W · 100 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73f0…9e0cbacked Yes12c666.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80316.5%2 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes11c646.27$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0916731.7%53 W · 114 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes12c601.5$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1892732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes12c583.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7028626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a0c…a35abacked Yes12c547.91$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655337.7%20 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes11c541.02$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.512,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd963…fd5abacked Yes10c520$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5214640.4%59 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019531.3%61 W · 134 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf60b…f8fabacked Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick29cpaid+7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4160…3ad7backed Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5514024.3%34 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a0…aee2backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012140.5%49 W · 72 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032733%108 W · 219 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ed…0cfabacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504318.6%8 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf69…04a0backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012514.4%18 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5274…046cbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017518.3%32 W · 143 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x301f…48abbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018614.5%27 W · 159 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7169…aaf5backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010526.7%28 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6745…232abacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505420.4%11 W · 43 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-62.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb150…9a17backed Yes12c415.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6493…95fbbacked Yes12c406.25$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d12…9591backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013620.6%28 W · 108 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4037320.9%78 W · 295 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014523.4%34 W · 111 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Yes11c318.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359330.1%28 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes7c315.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.074,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes11c310$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.153436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b4d…c525backed Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3317020%34 W · 136 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae33…ba39backed Yes12c291.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519042.6%81 W · 109 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70d9…706cbacked Yes12c291.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355030%15 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes11c288$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9647321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0c0…a779backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209558.9%56 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c1c…23edbacked Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-73.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x18de…c02fbacked Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307116.9%12 W · 59 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa7…90febacked Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305733.3%19 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010314.6%15 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x319a…039bbacked Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307312.3%9 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9af…40c4backed Yes9c253.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3523218.1%42 W · 190 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaa9…ebb8backed Yes12c252$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.24378.1%3 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-13.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3035714%50 W · 307 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Yes11c250$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.511826.3%31 W · 87 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed36…33d5backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308733.3%29 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick34cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec9…8de6backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013930.9%43 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes10c244.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2435612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ba6…09eabacked Yes12c241.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2911329.2%33 W · 80 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1687…74b1backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305837.9%22 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0a1…6daebacked Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521828.9%63 W · 155 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa458…24dfbacked Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256728.4%19 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.