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Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 IR Iran?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,632

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,396 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes8c51,141$4,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,098.158,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc45…911fbacked Yes8c25,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Yes8c20,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6007020%14 W · 56 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2878…466dbacked Yes8c3,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005032%16 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes7c3,291$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.3442710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes3c3,090$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.541,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes7c2,140$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.835110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Yes7c1,503$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2125510.6%27 W · 228 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201137.1%8 W · 105 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ca…a6ecbacked Yes11c1,335$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150588.6%5 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014351.7%74 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fca…c922backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012517.6%22 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020825%52 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdabd…b7d7backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes8c1,125$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x045c…3977backed Yes8c1,113$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.015422.2%12 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabfe…256ebacked Yes8c1,094$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.55326.3%2 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f0…9e0cbacked Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80316.5%2 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89d2…7a0cbacked Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805722.8%13 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef3a…1eb3backed Yes8c875$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes2c843.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.722,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes7c821.49$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.544524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Yes7c750$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.515424.7%38 W · 116 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x006e…7c46backed Yes8c737.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596429.7%19 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes8c687.5$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5518614.5%27 W · 159 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015836.7%58 W · 100 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x488e…ab99backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507417.6%13 W · 61 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9f9…2233backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502528%7 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030321.5%65 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Yes8c600$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4819531.3%61 W · 134 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a64…3c0abacked Yes9c569.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504425%11 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6d1…e887backed Yes8c562.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456630.3%20 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036023.6%85 W · 275 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf269…b117backed Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405820.7%12 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014523.4%34 W · 111 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52da…dd00backed Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes6c419.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3934330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6592…2767backed Yes8c400.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0313718.2%25 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes7c389.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.291,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3035714%50 W · 307 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c1c…23edbacked Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-73.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4841…1767backed Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308421.4%18 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaec9…8de6backed Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013930.9%43 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x496b…f9c6backed Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30527.7%4 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-54.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023336.9%86 W · 147 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69b5…7b80backed Yes8c362.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29214.8%1 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick11cpaid+32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f5c…d8debacked Yes8c315.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.276311.1%7 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick11cpaid-36.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Yes8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520532.2%66 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a1…6daebacked Yes8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521828.9%63 W · 155 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes7c311.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8252522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd5…bb74backed Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246710.4%7 W · 60 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5473…f736backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307218.1%13 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Yes8c287.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2325018.4%46 W · 204 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x557e…5007backed Yes7c268$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7621755.3%120 W · 97 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20486.3%3 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-72.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b57…6359backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011411.4%13 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-62.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf5…e4b3backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70d9…706cbacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205030%15 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8c6…1462backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031119.3%60 W · 251 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18de…c02fbacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207116.9%12 W · 59 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3f…a9b4backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0788…c287backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018417.4%32 W · 152 L+0.7wins0.00per pick17cpaid+26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0553…e967backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012023.3%28 W · 92 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc97…6ea7backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205414.8%8 W · 46 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…811fbacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-72.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b59…be19backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032312.1%39 W · 284 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x319a…039bbacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207312.3%9 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf60b…f8fabacked Yes8c242$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.362222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick29cpaid+7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35ad…294bbacked Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511225%28 W · 84 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd671…634cbacked Yes8c212.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17250%0 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9de2…2f54backed Yes5c210$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f4…6137backed Yes8c206.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.54520%9 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12c1…ddd6backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1619932.2%64 W · 135 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49e2…0124backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16283.6%1 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick10cpaid-78%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa318…77cfbacked Yes8c188$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.041109.1%10 W · 100 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0107…8c74backed Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156827.9%19 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8297…5ac4backed Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158631.4%27 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513843.5%60 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525528.6%73 W · 182 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes8c180$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.447321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fbf…c4aebacked Yes8c175$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145927.1%16 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cf3…43abbacked Yes8c170.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6419118.8%36 W · 155 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes8c156$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0145528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd141…205cbacked Yes8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12498.2%4 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f1a…29e8backed Yes9c142$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60f1…dc7cbacked Yes8c130$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.418441.8%77 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7976…e3c4backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick18cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bad…4ee8backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick15cpaid+129.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf639…1d16backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+164.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x720b…5cedbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef16…d826backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.