Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 IR Iran?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0069569d6ad0dc09106f84b37b6a291d78842a706653769e2675d6c9b87a1571
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 51,141$4,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098.15 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc45…911fbacked Yes | 8c | 25,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Yes | 8c | 20,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2878…466dbacked Yes | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 7c | 3,291$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.34 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 3c | 3,090$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.54 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 7c | 2,140$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 7c | 1,503$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.21 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 7.1%8 W · 105 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ca…a6ecbacked Yes | 11c | 1,335$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…c922backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…b7d7backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 8c | 1,125$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…3977backed Yes | 8c | 1,113$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…256ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,094$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…9e0cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89d2…7a0cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Yes | 8c | 875$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 2c | 843.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 7c | 821.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Yes | 7c | 750$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 154 | 24.7%38 W · 116 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006e…7c46backed Yes | 8c | 737.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 8c | 687.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 186 | 14.5%27 W · 159 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 158 | 36.7%58 W · 100 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…ab99backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f9…2233backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a64…3c0abacked Yes | 9c | 569.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…e887backed Yes | 8c | 562.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf269…b117backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 145 | 23.4%34 W · 111 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52da…dd00backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 6c | 419.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…2767backed Yes | 8c | 400.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 7c | 389.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…23edbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4841…1767backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…8de6backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 30.9%43 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496b…f9c6backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…7b80backed Yes | 8c | 362.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…d8debacked Yes | 8c | 315.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…0009backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 205 | 32.2%66 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 218 | 28.9%63 W · 155 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 7c | 311.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…bb74backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5473…f736backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 18.1%13 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 8c | 287.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 250 | 18.4%46 W · 204 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed Yes | 7c | 268$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…6359backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 11.4%13 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf5…e4b3backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d9…706cbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…c02fbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3f…a9b4backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0788…c287backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 17.4%32 W · 152 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0553…e967backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 23.3%28 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…6ea7backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…811fbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…be19backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 323 | 12.1%39 W · 284 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319a…039bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 12.3%9 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…f8fabacked Yes | 8c | 242$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ad…294bbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 25%28 W · 84 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd671…634cbacked Yes | 8c | 212.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…2f54backed Yes | 5c | 210$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f4…6137backed Yes | 8c | 206.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c1…ddd6backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 199 | 32.2%64 W · 135 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…0124backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -78%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…77cfbacked Yes | 8c | 188$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 110 | 9.1%10 W · 100 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…8c74backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…5ac4backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 28.6%73 W · 182 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 8c | 180$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbf…c4aebacked Yes | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…43abbacked Yes | 8c | 170.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 191 | 18.8%36 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 8c | 156$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…205cbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1a…29e8backed Yes | 9c | 142$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…dc7cbacked Yes | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7976…e3c4backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bad…4ee8backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…1d16backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +164.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x720b…5cedbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef16…d826backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 IR Iran?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 IR Iran?Yes won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 3 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 3 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 2 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 3 IR Iran?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.