TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Will CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,952
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,952 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes28c103,463$28,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,789.6715034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No64c48,954$31,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,511.213,57142.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L+26.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c44,927$33,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,297.144,85647%2,282 W · 2,574 L-17.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c14,472$8,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,104.131,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8339…caa9backed Yes70c8,602$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,601.921050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No73c8,127$5,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,938.541,46645%659 W · 807 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f87…f334backed Yes65c5,000$3,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-48.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes14c2,650$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.6610345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes14c2,342$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,014.411,29351.5%666 W · 627 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes23c2,174$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.918343.4%36 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No64c1,954$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.9961048%293 W · 317 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No78c1,861$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.599168.1%62 W · 29 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No76c1,735$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.2919865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Yes57c1,681$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes10c1,013$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.5812020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No31c909.36$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.4320055.5%111 W · 89 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes14c774.5$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.0751048.6%248 W · 262 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes42c683.86$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.9993345.3%423 W · 510 L-30.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes9c504.53$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.121,64538.6%635 W · 1,010 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6802…da5ebacked Yes59c474.58$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes14c450$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38780950.3%407 W · 402 L+1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No77c429.86$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.8922760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes14c417.03$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.6474949.8%373 W · 376 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Yes59c403.12$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.282161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No76c344.85$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.1638144.9%171 W · 210 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No74c337$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.388433.3%28 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc942…a8a1backed Yes15c317.8$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.131163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick68cpaid+35%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Yes65c308.28$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2810361.2%63 W · 40 L+13.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Yes28c300$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2165050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No71c297.04$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.911055.5%61 W · 49 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes15c266.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6720930.6%64 W · 145 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No50c240.71$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.199750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No76c229.18$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5523857.1%136 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No64c228$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8765652.6%345 W · 311 L-1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No47c225.85$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.47153.5%38 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Yes70c211.43$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.431060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes61c187.7$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3713658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c0…e88fbacked Yes70c173$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No43c156.72$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0819740.6%80 W · 117 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No74c153.7$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.829441.5%39 W · 55 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes21c146$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.964443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No68c145.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5926154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…8f34backed Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc97c…cdf6backed Yes16c125$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1055942.4%25 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52bc…4e1cbacked Yes16c125$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+118.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76e9…b7dbbacked No46c118.89$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked No73c117.61$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.435375.5%40 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed No63c114.64$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.865147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes21c110$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.17962%49 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No71c103$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1322446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes16c102.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.898342.2%35 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Yes78c101.28$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.12035%7 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked No76c97.81$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8718360.7%111 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes60c97.47$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1821950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes14c95.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.122,39448.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8328…feb3backed Yes17c90.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.074141.5%17 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe61d…5f97backed Yes20c79.44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.62040%8 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.434748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No75c76.63$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.099660.4%58 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes16c75.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8313129.8%39 W · 92 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No74c70.47$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.21,18732.4%385 W · 802 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed No77c70.05$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.844854.2%26 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Yes15c70$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.511449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No61c66.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.439931.3%31 W · 68 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d85…5c50backed Yes16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.52015%3 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd83c…6b83backed Yes16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x784a…06c3backed Yes78c54.74$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.04666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed No49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256836.8%25 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5728…b961backed Yes73c47.93$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa54…eefcbacked No26c41.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f43…6bfabacked No29c41.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x544d…88c5backed Yes73c40.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.95966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Yes71c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.864459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked No51c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.834443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae5…f868backed Yes79c32.87$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.86366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick77cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2acc…cfedbacked No71c31.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57b…6783backed Yes72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.993447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ef7…9266backed No74c28.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.171580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf71e…ef9abacked Yes63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Yes51c23.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.533737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No71c23.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3635759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e4…5583backed No74c23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.132161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba5e…e6cebacked Yes66c22.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No70c22.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7818839.9%75 W · 113 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes70c20.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.222236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac03…f019backed Yes74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.271586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick69cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.65172.5%37 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes64c18.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.819946.5%46 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2726…5723backed Yes59c18.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked No79c17.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7211366.4%75 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x15df…c68bbacked No74c16.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.573256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed No69c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.042142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0ae…02ffbacked No71c15.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.312763%17 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Yes73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.051687.5%14 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick67cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.