La Liga · resolved market
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bd7631dd6c8e8a75213f285f5fe151e490bd371bed55048f065d48fad5bd22c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 10c | 50,505$4,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,895.2 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 8c | 3,622$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.19 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes | 8c | 2,472$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.58 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fa…4c6abacked Yes | 8c | 1,647$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…f8b7backed Yes | 7c | 1,421$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 14cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb51e…08b2backed Yes | 8c | 1,292$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 7c | 1,200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Yes | 7c | 781.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 27.2%31 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Yes | 5c | 638.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +13.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 8c | 624.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 8c | 617.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb9…8bdabacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…604abacked Yes | 8c | 478.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3f…3706backed Yes | 7c | 463.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 8c | 401.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes | 7c | 359.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…cdf6backed Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 4c | 251.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 6c | 241.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 332 | 44%146 W · 186 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes | 8c | 176.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b684backed Yes | 9c | 116.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 10c | 115.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-15?this page
- Will CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.