Tennis · resolved market
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Gabriel Diallo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x838fcf0e4b1765a96764819eb57ce3d668c64a8bcba1b9d7ebb25a54c47a9ceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexander Zverevof Alexander Zverev, Gabriel Diallo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $223,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Gabriel Diallo | 5c | 14,677$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.47 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gabriel Diallo | 3c | 11,523$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.36 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Gabriel Diallo | 9c | 10,918$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.17 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Gabriel Diallo | 7c | 9,868$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.27 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Gabriel Diallo | 8c | 7,881$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.53 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Gabriel Diallo | 2c | 7,111$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.42 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Gabriel Diallo | 3c | 6,819$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.86 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…f334backed Gabriel Diallo | 8c | 2,508$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.65 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…b3d2backed Gabriel Diallo | 9c | 2,500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…9819backed Gabriel Diallo | 8c | 2,362$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.96 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Gabriel Diallo | 9c | 2,140$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.73 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Gabriel Diallo | 9c | 1,865$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.93 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gabriel Diallo | 9c | 1,748$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.36 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gabriel Diallo | 2c | 1,658$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Gabriel Diallo | 10c | 1,505$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.54 | 489 | 35.8%175 W · 314 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…811dbacked Gabriel Diallo | 10c | 1,334$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.06 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Gabriel Diallo | 1c | 1,213$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Gabriel Diallo | 5c | 1,067$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Gabriel Diallo | 8c | 1,063$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.03 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Gabriel Diallo | 9c | 1,049$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Gabriel Diallo | 3c | 1,029$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Gabriel Diallo | 10c | 1,005$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…90febacked Gabriel Diallo | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Gabriel Diallo | 2c | 961.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4696…e741backed Gabriel Diallo | 11c | 896.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0807…a499backed Gabriel Diallo | 9c | 735.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Gabriel Diallo | 5c | 660.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked Gabriel Diallo | 9c | 630.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 114 | 26.3%30 W · 84 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Gabriel Diallo | 2c | 611.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Gabriel Diallo | 5c | 589.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Gabriel Diallo | 9c | 525.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Gabriel Diallo | 8c | 498.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Gabriel Diallo | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Gabriel Diallo | 8c | 469$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Gabriel Diallo | 3c | 457.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de8…3cdebacked Gabriel Diallo | 5c | 455.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked Gabriel Diallo | 6c | 445.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Gabriel Diallo | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29c…e1a0backed Gabriel Diallo | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…df6fbacked Gabriel Diallo | 4c | 299.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Gabriel Diallo | 9c | 262.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 227 | 55.1%125 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Gabriel Diallo | 11c | 244.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Gabriel Diallo | 12c | 243.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Gabriel Diallo | 10c | 236.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Gabriel Diallo | 9c | 210.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Gabriel Diallo | 9c | 157.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…0a81backed Gabriel Diallo | 10c | 136.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec74…9e6abacked Gabriel Diallo | 8c | 134.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7c…ea1bbacked Gabriel Diallo | 11c | 129.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Gabriel Diallo | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Gabriel Diallo | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Gabriel Diallothis page
- Alexander Zverev vs. Gabriel Diallo: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs DialloZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Diallo (+1.5)Zverev won
- Zverev vs. Diallo: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Zverev vs. Diallo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.