South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Querétaro FC vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x548a1eca479a3d8f2a27e55ec687c48ec5dacaef094c21b744bf37a11d2d41f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 1,330$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.11 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 38c | 1,077$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.5 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 66c | 593.67$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.83 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 499.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.93 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 64c | 305.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 16c | 299.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 270$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 217.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 25c | 213.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.14 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 76c | 213.71$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.56 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 38c | 213.52$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 24c | 201.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.35 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 24c | 201.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.35 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 150.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 62c | 132.71$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 129.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 33c | 127.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 76c | 125.23$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.18 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 23c | 124.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.79 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes | 20c | 116.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.83 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 112.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 38c | 112.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 23c | 99.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 50c | 96.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked No | 39c | 84.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 24c | 83.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…ca06backed No | 78c | 64.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 23c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed7…e114backed Yes | 61c | 63.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…317ebacked Yes | 71c | 52.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 72c | 52.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 52c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 24c | 48.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 24c | 46.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 54c | 44.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…0bbebacked Yes | 45c | 41.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa867…71abbacked Yes | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 78c | 33.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 41c | 29.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…6ce4backed Yes | 74c | 29.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 52c | 29.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 71c | 20.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 58c | 20.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Querétaro FC vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-04-21?No won
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-04-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.