TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-04-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,660
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,032

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,660 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed No33c1,831$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.572,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes62c1,654$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.191,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No33c1,071$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.6320022.5%45 W · 155 L-13.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes52c937.72$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.6715945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes56c832.37$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.871,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes69c767.04$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.715,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes76c724.76$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.622,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No40c499.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.993633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed No44c454.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.773943.6%17 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24020846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No24c399.04$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.64042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa3…fddabacked Yes80c381.81$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed No53c291.54$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.028337.3%31 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes38c280.49$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1184943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No42c253.98$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.3113545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes71c244$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.2430847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No24c198.83$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1123254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes27c195.02$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4371619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes52c187.59$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.733,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf08b…7e76backed Yes52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.124562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No24c186.11$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4416740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes58c166.76$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.551,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No26c163.83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.91,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No62c155.33$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.641,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No45c146.85$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7721345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes53c138.05$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8876951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d55…f50cbacked No45c128.29$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.563831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed Yes78c126.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.681369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No33c126.02$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8485220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No24c124.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7813451.5%69 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed Yes62c121$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.021729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-47.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x62cc…f56fbacked Yes49c112.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.26425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes32c108.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.337540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No45c106.37$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.551654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No24c102.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1544843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507128.2%20 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45dd…7b56backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes29c99.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7225625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No51c95.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6150746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No52c94.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.251,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7bc…96acbacked No29c94.33$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.012100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+150.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes28c92.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6913023.1%30 W · 100 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked No63c78.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1115945.9%73 W · 86 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd0…c747backed Yes20c70.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.281145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes55c66.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.759953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes78c64.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6844959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No45c64.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.469340.9%38 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No43c60.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.798439.3%33 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.630858.4%180 W · 128 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes73c59.61$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5147758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes77c58.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1863657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No43c58.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3414254.9%78 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked No28c58.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.196036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca5…9988backed Yes34c56.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbffd…fa8ebacked Yes56c55.63$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.16771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No41c54.52$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.179953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes47c51.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2118743.9%82 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes57c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.410651.9%55 W · 51 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No53c49.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.11,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4c7…c8e5backed No42c47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99ec…0da5backed Yes43c44.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.32966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+45.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes67c42.48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.458,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes58c41.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.911,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3492…969abacked No60c40.85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.46580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea80…41afbacked Yes78c37.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.62030%6 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6cf…b42ebacked Yes34c37.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed No40c36.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.69714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick47cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No59c35.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.646357.1%36 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes73c33.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9694848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Yes47c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.519240.2%37 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No44c32.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0817560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x70ca…ba27backed Yes56c32.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No72c31.57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7457157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bc…7e33backed No44c26.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.11633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-39.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked Yes79c26.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.722250%11 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes80c24.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.858560%51 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked Yes61c24.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.022638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes57c22.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0918452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed No51c22.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1511863.6%75 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes55c22.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes56c18.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No79c18.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9534155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes72c13.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0626160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No79c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.731,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.