South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-04-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50ed74b3007a732e5f8b547b74dc1fb4a249129ad45c14fda654026b7e0483bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 20c | 3,807$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 80c | 1,327$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.74 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 18c | 498.14$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 80c | 339.06$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.81 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed No | 80c | 339.06$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 6c | 289.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 11c | 239.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 12c | 205.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 80c | 194.55$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 19c | 166.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 19c | 150.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…a4aabacked Yes | 13c | 145.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 79c | 108.32$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…8f09backed No | 79c | 95.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 17c | 71.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Yes | 18c | 68.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 21c | 60.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 20c | 53.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 80c | 37.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked No | 80c | 33.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked No | 80c | 33.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked No | 80c | 33.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 80c | 33.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 80c | 33.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae3…d781backed No | 80c | 24.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 80c | 23.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99a…1f3ebacked No | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 79c | 18.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed No | 80c | 17.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 80c | 16.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…7f4bbacked No | 80c | 16.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x278a…dfddbacked No | 80c | 12.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-04-21?this page
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-04-21?No won
- Will Querétaro FC vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.