Asian League · resolved market
Will Incheon United FC vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1c3c22b974cfca162ef9a3e879bc1cf06b9be7378e6aeb7b9f0ccfa6442cff6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 830.43$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.71 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 59c | 752.33$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.22 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e1…f770backed Yes | 72c | 594.31$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 35c | 550.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.43 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 26c | 514.58$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.9 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 61c | 462$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.78 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 9c | 443.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 11cpaid | +151.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 374.14$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.07 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked No | 75c | 300$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 31c | 298.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.6 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 67c | 254.29$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked Yes | 23c | 153$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed No | 69c | 131.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 70c | 124.29$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Yes | 24c | 90.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 46c | 82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…968fbacked Yes | 76c | 69.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 42c | 67.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 31c | 66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 37c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 52c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 31c | 60.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…0cb2backed Yes | 24c | 56.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 20c | 48.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 61c | 42.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 31c | 41.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e9…c11abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 27c | 38.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…6c9fbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 74c | 27.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed7…e114backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…71c6backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd0…f430backed Yes | 74c | 20.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…0081backed No | 76c | 15.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633b…ff9ebacked No | 71c | 14.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Incheon United FC vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.