Asian League · resolved market
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9411ab68390c112250b7905a1273c2388878db511ba7c085aca76b2cf060536a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes | 71c | 6,988$4,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 3,801$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.15 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 58c | 1,903$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.25 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,678$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 30c | 1,559$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.71 | 868 | 43%373 W · 495 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…0fa1backed Yes | 20c | 1,503$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +338.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 64c | 1,224$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.37 | 1,529 | 54.9%840 W · 689 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 21c | 951.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 48c | 811.74$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.64 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 31c | 688.16$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.33 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed No | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 31c | 588.56$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.35 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 31c | 517.24$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.59 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 65c | 499.98$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 35c | 459.77$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.85 | 1,656 | 50.8%841 W · 815 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 43c | 454.54$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.59 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked No | 5c | 417.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 31c | 322.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 44c | 300$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.68 | 494 | 67.8%335 W · 159 L | +69.4wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 70c | 233.62$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 854 | 47.9%409 W · 445 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 168.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde93…bef4backed Yes | 39c | 128.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…2f32backed No | 21c | 116.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 21c | 111.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 64c | 110.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 35c | 110$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked No | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 65c | 98.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 45c | 96.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 349 | 59.9%209 W · 140 L | +49.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 31c | 95.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 56c | 95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed No | 21c | 88.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 56c | 86.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 264 | 53.4%141 W · 123 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Yes | 64c | 74.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 67c | 74.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 129 | 62.8%81 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 34c | 72.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…b169backed No | 21c | 63.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked No | 25c | 63.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 30c | 61.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 31c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 1,337 | 56.5%756 W · 581 L | +64.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked No | 21c | 56.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6866…b8f4backed Yes | 67c | 50.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 399 | 61.9%247 W · 152 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 49c | 48.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 377 | 62.3%235 W · 142 L | +60.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…551ebacked Yes | 68c | 45.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 49c | 45.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 36c | 45.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 47c | 44.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 1,066 | 41.7%445 W · 621 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 79c | 41.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 961 | 35.3%339 W · 622 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 55c | 37.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 33c | 36.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 2,036 | 54.2%1,104 W · 932 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 73c | 34.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 838 | 53.7%450 W · 388 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed No | 65c | 32.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 65c | 32.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 65c | 32.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 65c | 32.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 65c | 32.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 65c | 32.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…b76bbacked No | 35c | 29.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 290 | 36.2%105 W · 185 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 785 | 55.7%437 W · 348 L | +38.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Yes | 40c | 26.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 23.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 66c | 23.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 54c | 21.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 65c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 65c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 68c | 20.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 65c | 16.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 65c | 16.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 66c | 15.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Incheon United FC vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.