TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$386,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$495,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,911 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes27c90,028$23,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,129.8811445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No72c50,569$36,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,415.9413748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c25,512$18,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,944.212,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes25c20,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,00038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c15,121$11,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,037.581,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0702…523cbacked No75c8,886$6,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,664.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes27c8,854$2,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,463.23426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No74c8,000$5,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,92014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes27c7,862$2,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,739.321643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+42.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes18c6,379$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,213.456,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No74c6,000$4,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,44013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No73c5,937$4,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,353.5290751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No73c5,022$3,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,666.062138.1%8 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-21%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed Yes24c4,749$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,609.084546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No21c4,659$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.4867042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No75c4,373$3,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,280.056550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No76c4,193$3,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,186.3640655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes41c3,817$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.5461143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2f7…aef9backed No75c3,677$2,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,757.861136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No62c3,628$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,245.1514658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No74c3,445$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.615255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x180a…54a6backed Yes27c3,099$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.122133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No74c3,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No50c2,917$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.5477336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes46c2,685$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.518748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes53c2,343$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.2525348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No46c2,145$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.4313948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No73c2,119$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.526262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes78c2,118$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.461,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.927061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8136…772cbacked No75c1,970$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.51154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes30c1,916$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.26048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes36c1,868$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.881,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed No4c1,841$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.32437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-45.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No75c1,839$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.2521056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c1,834$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.6584549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes45c1,774$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.0476842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44f…6225backed Yes27c1,771$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.641752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes27c1,771$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.641931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Yes27c1,771$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.646634.8%23 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No42c1,618$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.545856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00b9…01cabacked Yes70c1,587$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No77c1,559$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.494557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No8c1,369$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1326319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bad…861fbacked Yes4c1,255$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.84333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+733.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked No77c1,233$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.381855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c1,204$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.21,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes48c1,189$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.834,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes80c1,157$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.4269772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No74c1,139$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.9216651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10565.4%3 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+150.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74012157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74017062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74014459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes25c999.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.9920040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x840e…b9edbacked No65c999.99$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.99560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e41…ca06backed No77c985.9$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.221145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick71cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No75c985$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.758065%52 W · 28 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes27c956.2$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.034334.9%15 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes26c955.6$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.1419235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No21c952$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.922544%11 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+65.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No74c941.83$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.963161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba2d…2f32backed No20c906.3$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.26540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+69.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No74c900$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66614355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x601f…242bbacked Yes29c852.25$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.1850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes29c835.22$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.733237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No74c800$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59214354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No74c800$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59212757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No74c800$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59213855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes25c781.24$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.310950.5%55 W · 54 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes79c776.92$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.353344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No73c729.77$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.7326444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes25c715$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.2527752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d25…5529backed Yes32c698.74$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.281850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb68b…7044backed Yes27c580.8$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No75c579.18$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.398666.3%57 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes41c535.91$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.62128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7211…c51bbacked Yes56c524.59$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.573060%18 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0705…1175backed No70c511.06$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.74666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No68c505.66$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.6511430.7%35 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No74c500$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37014658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No74c500$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37013858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No74c492.2$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.23650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No45c490.07$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4796645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8372…01e6backed Yes70c448.3$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes21c434.42$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.511,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes71c429.81$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4248950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No73c417.59$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.841637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No74c413.45$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.9517959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No74c413.45$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.9518156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes16c400.47$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.871520%3 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf11a…d3e3backed No74c396.93$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.712347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked No28c394.21$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.773441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+115%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No76c389.05$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.686866.2%45 W · 23 L+9.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No21c388.29$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.718842.6%80 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes26c367.54$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.988831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No74c364.23$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.5316858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes27c360.26$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.674431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed No75c358.54$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.918259.8%49 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6556…5c7cbacked Yes27c354.15$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.53837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.