Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-04-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77e0b61039458a9aa5c3f55c78aac7721cc2509e053d423626e6eab76efb4a03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 44c | 1,447$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.49 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 5c | 766.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 15c | 712$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 49c | 502.3$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.91 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 19c | 284.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Yes | 56c | 217.11$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 41c | 216.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked No | 40c | 172.08$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 78c | 161.93$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed No | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 32c | 120.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1da…23a3backed Yes | 56c | 114.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 56c | 103.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes | 60c | 99.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 47c | 99.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 58c | 98.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…fa8ebacked Yes | 59c | 94.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 33c | 87.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Yes | 59c | 86.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed No | 43c | 76.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 60c | 73.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 56c | 65.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 56c | 65.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 45c | 64.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 56c | 63.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 56c | 63.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes | 59c | 54.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 51c | 53.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Yes | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x251e…bfe7backed Yes | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ee07backed Yes | 57c | 51.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…e95fbacked Yes | 80c | 48.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 61c | 48.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 74c | 47.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 44c | 46.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed Yes | 57c | 45.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe57c…b99bbacked Yes | 59c | 39.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes | 30c | 38.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x756c…651bbacked Yes | 65c | 37.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…0d49backed Yes | 59c | 28.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 53c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed7…e114backed Yes | 57c | 22.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…2a49backed No | 71c | 20.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 58c | 18.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-04-24?this page
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-04-24?No won
- Will FC Tōkyō vs. FC Mito Holly Hock end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.