TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$370,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$357,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $370,158 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes47c32,051$15,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,078.861650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c29,288$17,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,115.571,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes43c28,299$12,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,304.641435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No63c18,531$11,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,856.365330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No59c15,676$9,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,485.5471140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No57c15,474$8,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,613.831,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No55c11,862$6,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,336.7662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No55c11,086$6,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,034.2324349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes13c7,765$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.9187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes13c7,655$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.3129637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No54c7,238$3,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,305.848649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6e0…649bbacked Yes33c6,743$2,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,224.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes35c6,145$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,178.7110938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes56c6,098$3,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,407.334723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x867b…9fbabacked Yes50c4,864$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29ab…a640backed Yes42c4,826$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,026.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes52c4,690$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,428.467741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No53c4,465$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.6212556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes14c4,150$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58110521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No54c3,840$2,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.8618046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Yes0c3,775$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.932236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes13c3,720$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.662665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+70.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed No79c3,450$2,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.346446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No54c3,360$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.529558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes27c3,179$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.176943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed No70c2,946$2,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.85151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bea…facbbacked Yes50c2,884$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes24c2,690$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.8520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes43c2,440$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.174748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Yes37c2,391$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.564266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x059e…54d1backed Yes57c2,199$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes14c2,150$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.991241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+86.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.982751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Yes51c1,912$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes13c1,909$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.1235157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Yes56c1,763$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes46c1,706$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.3426040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d56…d8febacked Yes60c1,663$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes13c1,423$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.868644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b3d…7de0backed Yes43c1,357$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c27…6a47backed Yes50c1,342$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes21c1,305$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.071346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes1c1,277$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.131526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Yes41c1,186$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed No71c1,103$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.61376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Yes58c1,005$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.95450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52026660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Yes36c927.52$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.9180%0 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes18c877.66$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.2533145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Yes48c853.21$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.21513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-64%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No55c799.61$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.862748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked No69c792.23$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.59650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes45c742.19$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.29425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked No47c734.08$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No69c710.14$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.142254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No69c710.14$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.141752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae29…cf34backed Yes3c708.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No62c704.86$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.499863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes13c695.82$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4620150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed No33c650$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes50c598.01$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.861330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes36c576.85$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.291330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-50.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No69c568.93$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.372972.4%21 W · 8 L+6.1wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+57.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes37c520.11$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.442857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…ba40backed Yes46c519.2$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.33650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+105.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes52c513.62$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.08742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Yes41c482.24$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.862944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4281…a56fbacked Yes39c481.7$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c1…80e1backed Yes48c478.23$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f9a…17edbacked Yes4c468.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes14c459.91$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3912738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked Yes30c455$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.42per pick22cpaid+183%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe732…04a8backed Yes55c451.12$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.12520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No47c448.97$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.361136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick62cpaid-45.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes48c435.42$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.287149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed No76c418.97$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.812864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked No47c416.31$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.841553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes47c408.81$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.692536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe90e…107abacked Yes49c404.85$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.38540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5865…696abacked Yes48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78e5…38e7backed Yes5c396.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes41c394.87$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.084062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd1f…f0d8backed Yes49c392.3$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.93944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x206b…3c33backed Yes50c389.82$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No60c375$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No49c374$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.22966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+63.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…ae23backed No70c351.16$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes48c331.46$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.957953.2%42 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked No59c329.6$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.474630.4%14 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes13c327.36$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5626041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad79…226dbacked Yes15c316.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked No62c315.23$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.793259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed No63c312.32$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.811060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked No63c312.2$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.691963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes31c311.2$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.851526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9e3…cce7backed Yes39c304.37$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Yes12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No65c298.38$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.814544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd832…67e0backed No60c295.16$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.631553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.