Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9e3f087870d6575d02af72b7094c0885617be0695b1561f410e8462e030e121
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 845.86$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.34 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Yes | 2c | 824.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 62c | 787.24$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.67 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 80c | 779.6$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.75 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 761.09$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.53 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…98b7backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 484.13$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.51 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb18…d006backed Yes | 16c | 372.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 23c | 329.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.94 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 77c | 301.74$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 5c | 279.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 78c | 279.21$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 21c | 262.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…abeabacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…5f62backed Yes | 23c | 204.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 36c | 188.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked Yes | 16c | 156.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 33c | 141.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 56c | 139$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 128.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 12c | 120.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 43c | 108.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…a1fabacked Yes | 28c | 108.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 47c | 107.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…36c8backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 22c | 99.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed Yes | 24c | 96.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 14c | 90.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes | 20c | 89.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 87.27$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25df…ad9abacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 78c | 85.58$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 81.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 66c | 77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 14c | 75.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes | 22c | 72.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 22c | 69.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Yes | 36c | 66.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf269…fa23backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Yes | 23c | 64.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…3b64backed Yes | 24c | 62.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes | 24c | 61.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cf…d9a0backed Yes | 37c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc431…401bbacked Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 70c | 32.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 26.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…f041backed No | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 74c | 21.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…09fcbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 77c | 18.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed No | 73c | 14.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29?No won
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.