South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6369e9af47631382b433038c00db217eb95f42de993472ef0a928438efdad1e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,420$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.22 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 40c | 890.57$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.34 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 69c | 812.64$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.05 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 39c | 686.67$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.85 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 30c | 475.51$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.65 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 39c | 379.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.57 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 62c | 214.32$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.87 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 12c | 207.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed Yes | 30c | 199.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 47c | 183.37$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Yes | 61c | 179.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.74 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Yes | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 148.22$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 13c | 145.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…18ecbacked Yes | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…271fbacked Yes | 30c | 105.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 92.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Yes | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cf…d9a0backed Yes | 60c | 64.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 69c | 64.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 45c | 57.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed No | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 52.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f4…ac20backed Yes | 61c | 44.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 58c | 41.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed No | 43c | 41.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb5…4f0dbacked Yes | 32c | 35.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed No | 43c | 34.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c00…5214backed Yes | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 69c | 22.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 63c | 20.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…2c85backed Yes | 64c | 17.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-08?this page
- Will Independiente Medellín vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-04-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.