South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Independiente Medellín vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fb50c957467d2da9744bc22a9640481f78fc763e72cab56be1eb8b42be058f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 21c | 1,908$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 1,204$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.11 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 34c | 759.39$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.2 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 34c | 621.44$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 72c | 472.74$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.14 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 20c | 330.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.71 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 20c | 310.63$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 20c | 310.63$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 19c | 296.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 66c | 265.71$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.37 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 19c | 262.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 18c | 248.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 18c | 248.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 18c | 248.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 18c | 248.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 19c | 242.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 19c | 237.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 19c | 237.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 66c | 231.76$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.96 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 18c | 228.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 18c | 228.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 218.88$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.44 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 53c | 212.35$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 18c | 203.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 66c | 186.53$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.11 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 66c | 179.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.79 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 20c | 169.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 68c | 144.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Yes | 75c | 141.38$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 10c | 135.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 18c | 132.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…8f09backed No | 67c | 102.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 33c | 99.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 27c | 99.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +102%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 38c | 88.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 22c | 88.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed No | 22c | 76.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 21c | 75.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 66c | 74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Yes | 34c | 70.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 28c | 69.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…f46bbacked No | 23c | 61.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5e…f08abacked Yes | 68c | 57.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked No | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 75c | 48.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 35c | 33.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Yes | 34c | 33.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25cf…d9a0backed Yes | 62c | 30.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…2dabbacked Yes | 72c | 27.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 68c | 23.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 80c | 18.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 66c | 15.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Independiente Medellín vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?this page
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-08?No won
- Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-04-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.