TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Montenegro win on 2026-03-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,021
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,021 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No14c13,427$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.133,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes77c5,194$3,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.614246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No24c4,315$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.3837144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes70c4,175$2,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.413461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No30c2,668$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.784,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes75c1,625$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.471,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No20c1,397$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.4246536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes73c1,335$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.192,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No23c1,327$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.636850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No23c1,238$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.685228.8%15 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No20c1,171$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.145039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No17c1,071$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.211,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No26c988.85$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.17533.3%25 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes74c988.85$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.13,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes76c929.54$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4817148.5%83 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes76c828.39$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.672,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No25c763$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.0118628.5%53 W · 133 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No26c688$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.6617338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed Yes76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.891855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1462…ef6bbacked Yes76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.891181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick73cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209618.8%18 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes77c452.81$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.616237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Yes76c451$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.0510234.3%35 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x458c…ee3ebacked Yes78c450.04$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.041877.8%14 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2718…780bbacked Yes69c389.57$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.772853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes76c386$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3632855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No23c349.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.53,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Yes77c325.34$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.837248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No23c311.66$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.681,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes73c311.37$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.661,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7211951.3%61 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0dd…19eabacked Yes78c291.63$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.45887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick72cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No31c287.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6450850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No31c280.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.223749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No31c280.8$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7324653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No25c229$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3510335%36 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No24c225$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No25c221.09$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.364,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes76c204$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9613643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No24c199.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4846525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Yes77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8115667.9%106 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes75c154$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7655045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No26c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2539621%83 W · 313 L-0.8wins0.00per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed No31c146.77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No22c146.25$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.645947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…283bbacked No23c145$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes72c134$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1428754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333974.4%29 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x81b0…6592backed Yes77c132$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.363455.9%19 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b11…6f75backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.585777.2%44 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aba…1910backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5810667.9%72 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No27c125$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.543835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed No12c124.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.994344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes78c111.95$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2786455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x807f…9659backed Yes77c110.39$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.391866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x645e…1bd3backed No24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255450%27 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed No15c102.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.184358.1%25 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No25c101.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1432629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Yes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313540%14 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259843.9%43 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.59842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No24c99.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2422650.9%115 W · 111 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No25c96.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.98930.3%27 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe90…5ce2backed No14c89.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8760%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No25c86.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3110863.9%69 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e96…262ebacked No16c81.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4730%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.690840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6249…cee9backed Yes68c77.65$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.859100%9 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0e71…5f31backed Yes77c75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked No17c72.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.115356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b8…6303backed Yes77c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No24c69.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4416755.1%92 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Yes76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.791681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick71cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6317…9c45backed Yes76c65.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.553461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe79…8955backed Yes78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No17c60.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.052,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xfedc…61d1backed No24c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.649855.1%54 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes74c57.26$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9527745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Yes77c52.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.081376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+31.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No23c48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.041,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1220067.5%135 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4836349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.865738.6%22 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes76c42.11$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1140355.3%223 W · 180 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78cf…bf8bbacked Yes70c39.16$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes77c35.22$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.133555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Yes73c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.526237.1%23 W · 39 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed No32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107443.2%32 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes76c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4424537.1%91 W · 154 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes74c30.07$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8210153.5%54 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.184761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf1…5776backed Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.995850%29 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9914047.9%67 W · 73 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddae…fbd0backed Yes76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.322972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Yes77c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.94678.3%36 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bea…c1f3backed Yes76c23.95$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-81.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Yes70c23.23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.051566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.