Tennis · resolved market
Monza: Norbert Gombos vs Timofey Skatov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa84ff90404044e732b98164a494119e945c8ff55b0f22ebd15dd99189fcd357a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timofey Skatovof Norbert Gombos, Timofey Skatov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Norbert Gombos | 4c | 3,790$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.94 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Norbert Gombos | 6c | 2,196$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.16 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Norbert Gombos | 4c | 1,284$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Norbert Gombos | 8c | 873.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Norbert Gombos | 14c | 338.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Norbert Gombos | 12c | 213.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 103 | 17.5%18 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Timofey Skatov | 71c | 208.43$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Norbert Gombos | 28c | 186$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Norbert Gombos | 25c | 160.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Timofey Skatov | 72c | 137.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Norbert Gombos | 13c | 126.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Norbert Gombos | 20c | 113.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Timofey Skatov | 72c | 98.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Timofey Skatov | 75c | 93.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Norbert Gombos | 29c | 82.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Norbert Gombos | 28c | 66.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Norbert Gombos | 30c | 65.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked Norbert Gombos | 26c | 58.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 144 | 15.3%22 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Timofey Skatov | 72c | 55.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Timofey Skatov | 73c | 45.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Norbert Gombos | 28c | 44.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Timofey Skatov | 75c | 43.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…c1f3backed Timofey Skatov | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…f109backed Timofey Skatov | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timofey Skatov | 76c | 19.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Timofey Skatov | 71c | 14.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.