TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$376,337
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$391,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,337 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x178d…43fcbacked No33c238,109$78,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,989.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Yes66c102,963$67,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,007.574100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54ac…7c14backed Yes68c101,086$68,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,347.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed No35c27,834$9,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,741.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes65c24,139$15,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,448.6611055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No29c13,385$3,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,908.1446644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes71c11,865$8,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,490.8713049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No0c11,165$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.96277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204e…8d08backed No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes67c8,165$5,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,726.3698844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes69c7,577$5,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,317.6710757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes65c7,179$4,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,509.3643748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No34c4,081$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.494148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No33c3,561$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.282763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No13c2,881$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.91822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-49.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Yes70c2,864$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes67c2,020$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.795246.2%24 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes67c1,991$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.712748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes67c1,845$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.945257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes67c1,845$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.854553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes75c1,536$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.214060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Yes66c1,505$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.281643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No7c1,500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No11c1,500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1705119.6%10 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No33c1,295$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.241471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+70.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Yes70c1,254$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.471560%9 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes66c1,217$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.742352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No33c1,212$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes65c1,146$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.185154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1604928.6%14 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No15c999.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6006…13afbacked Yes67c895.52$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.521338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked No15c799.97$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+74.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Yes64c779.69$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.691844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes64c779.41$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.413850%19 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes64c771.23$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.795754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes64c753.51$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.945255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.274845.8%22 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes67c740.17$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+102.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes68c733.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes67c721.63$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.1516858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes64c665.26$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.284148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No24c635.7$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.52650%13 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed No16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Yes64c623.88$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.892445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No32c619.73$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+72.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Yes66c618.33$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.16650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes68c602.97$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.5230055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked No23c599.98$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.991241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed No17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005935.6%21 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes64c546.52$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.521850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No34c511.91$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.033574.3%26 W · 9 L+8.1wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+49.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes68c493.04$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9111940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Yes65c490.72$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.722646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes64c489.66$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.751546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Yes66c488.19$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.98580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No35c478.96$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.637549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes66c458.19$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No18c447.61$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.713941%16 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No31c426$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.06742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No18c390.13$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2223551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes64c382.74$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.314355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes64c377.83$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.526549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Yes70c323.23$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Yes64c322.72$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.652653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes75c317.99$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5414843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Yes65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1055853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes74c295.37$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.675352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed No17c295.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.16714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked No34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No23c291$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.482236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No30c284$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.45per pick38cpaid+118.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed No34c260.51$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885048%24 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06d7…08f4backed No16c256.18$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed Yes67c245.96$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes65c236.57$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.862740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes78c233.53$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0612532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes67c229.5$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7313551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No35c229$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.155244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No20c227.37$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.012133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Yes68c227$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.641070%7 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick74cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No8c219.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.582846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed Yes66c218.32$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8280…1002backed No35c204.74$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Yes65c204.25$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.59875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed No32c202.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.691060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Yes67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+65%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Yes69c199.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes68c191.5$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3713243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes65c179.88$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.263756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No31c179.4$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6110448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked No30c174.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ccb…604ebacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21af…6ba0backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Yes64c155.05$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.82650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes69c150.26$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.581346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484866.7%32 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Yes70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457365.8%48 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543540%14 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.