Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x206446fa2e0dbc0275fdbe7f5dcbbc30eecfdbd8442a732e5daf78bcf773bf16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 22c | 18,006$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4084…357abacked No | 80c | 4,875$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 4,282$3,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.55 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 4,102$3,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.37 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 2,230$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.92 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 78c | 2,067$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.77 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,895$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.57 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f1…9befbacked Yes | 21c | 1,265$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 15c | 1,200$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…4d5bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,003$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 21c | 761.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3c…ba4bbacked No | 75c | 704.86$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…34cebacked Yes | 25c | 704.86$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 80c | 687.5$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 78c | 628$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.16 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 77c | 395$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 363.82$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x046f…62b3backed Yes | 26c | 356.17$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…aa49backed No | 74c | 356.17$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ae…58cebacked Yes | 24c | 322.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…80e5backed No | 76c | 322.38$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 280.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…b5d1backed Yes | 15c | 267.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec97…1cfabacked Yes | 25c | 249.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe594…b554backed No | 75c | 249.79$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 16c | 249.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked No | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 80c | 186.33$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 77c | 180$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2982…ff27backed No | 75c | 173.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…4935backed Yes | 25c | 173.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6a…eb8ebacked No | 75c | 149.08$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c8…a016backed Yes | 25c | 149.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…34f9backed Yes | 25c | 148.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…467cbacked No | 75c | 148.9$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 138$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 133.88$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61dc…28dfbacked No | 75c | 133.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…afe5backed Yes | 25c | 133.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 119.81$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 12c | 115.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 79c | 114.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 79c | 111.63$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 12c | 104.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…eceebacked Yes | 20c | 97.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 13c | 90.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 79c | 89.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 26c | 77.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed Yes | 22c | 68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 66.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…e7a4backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…0cb2backed Yes | 21c | 62.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…8ce1backed No | 80c | 56.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 80c | 52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 21c | 49.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed No | 80c | 37.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed No | 80c | 37.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…7a99backed No | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…1b8cbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…3003backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 60 | 80%48 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660a…4bc9backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-07?No won
- Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.