Australian A League · resolved market
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf23b467d98d9606960019a24186312b9f526cee321a34b7f26a09ac17fe511eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 14c | 7,800$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.88 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 4c | 2,201$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…4d5bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,564$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,089$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.76 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.34per pick | 41cpaid | -77%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,044$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 3c | 940$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 14c | 857.15$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.75 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 13c | 771.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 9c | 729.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x565d…be07backed Yes | 4c | 696.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 13c | 630.31$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec46…714cbacked Yes | 16c | 501.35$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 11c | 500$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 3c | 405.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 13c | 299.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 13c | 257$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Yes | 13c | 247.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 241.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…2519backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 8c | 187.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 7c | 159$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 149.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 14c | 141$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 9c | 111.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96cf…f777backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 14c | 106$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 12c | 100.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…6010backed Yes | 13c | 85.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 13c | 76.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-07?this page
- Will Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.