Fifa International · resolved market
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70a292ec4072c8e2b8ee0549c1731224dfe3666095abfb97fff6e94dcbbc46cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 20,347$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.36 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 0c | 18,525$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…34b8backed Yes | 10c | 10,489$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.81 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…6166backed Yes | 1c | 10,387$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 0c | 10,291$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes | 0c | 8,198$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +212.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 0c | 7,624$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…612abacked Yes | 1c | 5,562$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…819cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,510$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 5,127$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 4,863$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…0053backed Yes | 1c | 4,752$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…e2e9backed Yes | 1c | 3,166$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fb…e7f3backed Yes | 0c | 2,255$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 64c | 1,919$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.43 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…a626backed Yes | 1c | 1,737$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…4a08backed No | 66c | 1,696$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.74 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…79cfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…c087backed Yes | 36c | 1,402$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c7…1835backed Yes | 1c | 1,267$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…7a73backed Yes | 1c | 1,258$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…518ebacked No | 65c | 1,191$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.42 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43df…e6e9backed Yes | 34c | 1,169$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb00…7fe9backed No | 76c | 1,128$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.22 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,100$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.98 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…106ebacked Yes | 7c | 732.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…fa6cbacked Yes | 7c | 715.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 62c | 661.54$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.54 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…3706backed Yes | 36c | 653.32$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 592.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 556.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 66c | 555$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.23 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 62c | 492.1$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…176dbacked Yes | 33c | 488.26$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.13 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0480…0a91backed Yes | 8c | 476.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce67…62b8backed Yes | 27c | 430.22$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 64c | 356.62$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.39 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…45b2backed Yes | 34c | 320.59$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed No | 66c | 309.8$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 5c | 301.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1694…8badbacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…a934backed Yes | 30c | 260.13$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked No | 77c | 260.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 259.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…a55fbacked No | 77c | 258.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 254$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 7c | 235.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…6da1backed Yes | 6c | 227.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 223 | 38.1%85 W · 138 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked No | 67c | 227.13$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x304c…95a4backed Yes | 7c | 223.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 23c | 220$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…e028backed No | 61c | 218.06$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 30c | 212.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dff…1f35backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde03…e629backed No | 65c | 199.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…2317backed Yes | 21c | 194.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…333fbacked Yes | 27c | 190$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…000cbacked No | 67c | 179.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 10c | 161$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 66c | 154.08$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…bed6backed No | 67c | 154$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 18c | 151.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…a7b0backed No | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…088fbacked Yes | 36c | 137$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afa…a29ebacked No | 66c | 131.2$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e72…537cbacked No | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 17c | 128$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 41c | 121.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked No | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 67c | 119.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 18c | 116.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b2…e67ebacked Yes | 30c | 115.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fb…b650backed No | 62c | 108.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b8…7bf1backed No | 72c | 107.55$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…b521backed Yes | 26c | 104.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34d…b5c3backed Yes | 10c | 101.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4079…7126backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c1…3d38backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…141dbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…2cbfbacked Yes | 31c | 93.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e92…395abacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…9fccbacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb147…beedbacked Yes | 28c | 81.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9f…87acbacked No | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 32c | 79.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…2d85backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…48dabacked No | 65c | 70.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 27c | 65.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Yes | 25c | 63.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…c1f3backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked Yes | 32c | 61.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdea5…c77bbacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 65c | 57.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaded…4bcfbacked Yes | 35c | 54.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0855…ae26backed Yes | 31c | 53.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…dbdabacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 20c | 52.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.