TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Monza: Raphael Collignon vs Christopher O'Connell

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raphael Collignonof Raphael Collignon, Christopher O'Connell
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,426
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,102

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,426 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Christopher O'Connell22c7,834$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.877,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a84…e271backed Raphael Collignon76c4,386$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.5413959%82 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a12…d3febacked Christopher O'Connell20c3,486$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.679247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb546…802cbacked Raphael Collignon77c3,089$2,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.872479.2%19 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Raphael Collignon75c2,364$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.28,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06d7…08f4backed Christopher O'Connell2c1,190$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.531526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-56.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Raphael Collignon80c1,145$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.67943%34 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Christopher O'Connell8c1,093$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5430715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4890…03f1backed Christopher O'Connell2c1,008$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.239916.2%16 W · 83 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Christopher O'Connell23c1,001$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.236726.9%18 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ae…ce30backed Christopher O'Connell23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37a0…ec34backed Raphael Collignon80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-87.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Christopher O'Connell22c878.59$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2928141.6%117 W · 164 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Christopher O'Connell6c867.65$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.131,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Christopher O'Connell25c565.27$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3629230.5%89 W · 203 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf91…dc43backed Christopher O'Connell23c533$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5913261.4%81 W · 51 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed Raphael Collignon80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Christopher O'Connell20c476$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.240264.4%259 W · 143 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Christopher O'Connell24c464.42$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.191,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Raphael Collignon77c389.93$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.52,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Raphael Collignon79c377.41$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Christopher O'Connell25c298.42$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.67,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Christopher O'Connell25c238.31$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8125433.5%85 W · 169 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Raphael Collignon73c211.11$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.811,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Christopher O'Connell14c204.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.743,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Raphael Collignon74c202.01$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.524,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Raphael Collignon77c199.45$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.132050%10 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Christopher O'Connell23c181.15$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.663,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Raphael Collignon71c176.4$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1610454.8%57 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Christopher O'Connell24c167.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.937163.4%45 W · 26 L+9.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Raphael Collignon72c164.79$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.141,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Raphael Collignon72c164.66$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5423758.6%139 W · 98 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Raphael Collignon75c164.59$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.071,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Christopher O'Connell25c143.14$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7819344.6%86 W · 107 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Christopher O'Connell26c137.68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.811,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Raphael Collignon76c130.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4435268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Raphael Collignon76c129.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1226759.6%159 W · 108 L-1.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb740…2ec1backed Raphael Collignon76c129.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1235157%200 W · 151 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Christopher O'Connell24c127.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.556,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Raphael Collignon76c127.14$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5148552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc426…d86dbacked Raphael Collignon78c126.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Raphael Collignon76c105.18$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.241,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Raphael Collignon77c103.55$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8713051.5%67 W · 63 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Christopher O'Connell23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2339534.4%136 W · 259 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Raphael Collignon76c98.56$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.651,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Raphael Collignon72c98.32$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5377967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Christopher O'Connell24c81.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5734149.9%170 W · 171 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Raphael Collignon76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.29,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Raphael Collignon76c78.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.921,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Christopher O'Connell23c73.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3132050%160 W · 160 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Raphael Collignon78c63.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9228762.4%179 W · 108 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Raphael Collignon71c61.6$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.967,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf268…ab74backed Raphael Collignon75c59.44$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.614940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Raphael Collignon71c55.03$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9653457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02e7…2519backed Raphael Collignon73c53.89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.551675%12 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+45.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Raphael Collignon77c53.25$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2550259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Raphael Collignon72c52.14$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.511958.8%70 W · 49 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb56b…7150backed Raphael Collignon76c51.87$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4516564.8%107 W · 58 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd6f…bad3backed Christopher O'Connell26c45.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.952050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Raphael Collignon75c45.36$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.342,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Raphael Collignon71c43.23$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.541,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Raphael Collignon71c43.23$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5485348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Raphael Collignon71c43.23$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5423444.9%105 W · 129 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Raphael Collignon71c43.23$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5430555.4%169 W · 136 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Raphael Collignon71c43.23$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5413151.1%67 W · 64 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Raphael Collignon71c43.23$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5410160.4%61 W · 40 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Raphael Collignon71c43.23$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.541,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Raphael Collignon71c43.23$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5476853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Raphael Collignon71c43.23$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5448453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Raphael Collignon71c43.23$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5419153.4%102 W · 89 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Raphael Collignon71c42.97$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2729851%152 W · 146 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Raphael Collignon73c40.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9288560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Raphael Collignon73c40.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9118166.9%121 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Christopher O'Connell27c39.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.931,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63c4…26f2backed Christopher O'Connell28c38.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7117145.6%78 W · 93 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Raphael Collignon78c37.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2581457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Raphael Collignon71c34.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0313151.9%68 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2500…4688backed Raphael Collignon76c32.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.789461.7%58 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb96f…f533backed Raphael Collignon76c32.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb883…3994backed Raphael Collignon74c31.53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.221549.8%107 W · 108 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff6…0918backed Raphael Collignon70c28.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4949857%284 W · 214 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Raphael Collignon77c27.97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4364358.8%378 W · 265 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Raphael Collignon71c27.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0333557%191 W · 144 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Raphael Collignon73c26.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2210150.5%51 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae1c…91c3backed Raphael Collignon76c25.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.222766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffd6…8373backed Raphael Collignon76c25.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.228755.2%48 W · 39 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Raphael Collignon78c25.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.571662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bea…c1f3backed Raphael Collignon78c25.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.571566.7%10 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Raphael Collignon71c25.23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3275262%466 W · 286 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Raphael Collignon74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.543067%288 W · 142 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Raphael Collignon80c24.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9436944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41c0…165cbacked Raphael Collignon77c19.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Raphael Collignon77c18.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3432043.8%140 W · 180 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e2…ca98backed Raphael Collignon76c15.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.739463.8%60 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed Raphael Collignon77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4531358.5%183 W · 130 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f65…38bfbacked Raphael Collignon77c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.9913466.4%89 W · 45 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.