TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x37a0…ec34

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: World Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$50.4
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$290
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$62.5
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.8
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.87
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$30.88
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.99
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$140.16
Khamenei seen in public by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.06
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$3
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+69.8%+$7.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-87.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Panna Udvardybacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.61
Santa Cruz: Luis Guto Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Luis Guto Miguel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Santa Cruz: Ryan Dickerson vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Ryan Dickerson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.27
Tallahassee: Garrett Johns vs Hynek Bartonbacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Santa Cruz: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Hernan Casanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.53
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublikbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.04
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefan Kozlovbacked Stefan Kozlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Monza: Raphael Collignon vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Mexico City: Marc Polmans vs Rodrigo Alujasbacked Rodrigo Alujas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.61
Campinas: Pedro Sakamoto vs Joao Eduardo Schiesslbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
IPO — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+94.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+83.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
Will Lighter reach $4.50 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$17.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+117.7%+$28.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$7.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.6%+$9.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$118.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$185.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natus Vincere Junior Win Emea Challengers Stagebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$23.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix reach $105 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.