TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Santa Cruz: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Bautista Torres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Juan Bautista Torresof Hernan Casanova, Juan Bautista Torres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,467
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,467 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Hernan Casanova10c1,930$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.57,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed Hernan Casanova26c1,879$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.8712235.2%43 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Juan Bautista Torres61c1,696$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.7613450%67 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Juan Bautista Torres71c1,654$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.2711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Juan Bautista Torres78c1,574$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.364,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Juan Bautista Torres73c1,440$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.286,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Hernan Casanova38c1,013$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.1229444.2%130 W · 164 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Juan Bautista Torres80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20030857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Hernan Casanova33c832.07$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.441,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Hernan Casanova35c653.08$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.581,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Juan Bautista Torres79c643.2$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.134,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Juan Bautista Torres65c632.1$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.831,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Hernan Casanova33c587.35$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4892352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Hernan Casanova20c578.68$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.095,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17ff…b09cbacked Hernan Casanova12c462.47$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.52532%8 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Juan Bautista Torres68c446.91$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.739,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Hernan Casanova33c437.75$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9657321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Juan Bautista Torres67c403.71$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.228,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Juan Bautista Torres74c400.5$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.231,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Hernan Casanova37c395.19$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.921,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Hernan Casanova28c379.55$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0534847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Juan Bautista Torres61c362.41$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0639534.4%136 W · 259 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Hernan Casanova39c337.19$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.558639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Hernan Casanova30c314.14$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.834,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Hernan Casanova26c294.84$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4629241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Juan Bautista Torres76c267.33$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.035961%36 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Juan Bautista Torres63c249.74$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.436852.7%194 W · 174 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Hernan Casanova23c244.39$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1750644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hernan Casanova12c241.17$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.43,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Hernan Casanova9c238.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4420331%63 W · 140 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Hernan Casanova41c235.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.468248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hernan Casanova31c225.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.891,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Hernan Casanova22c224.86$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5836944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hernan Casanova21c218.16$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.316,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Juan Bautista Torres62c206.9$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.621,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Hernan Casanova21c198.48$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.256,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Hernan Casanova37c197.7$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.151,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hernan Casanova20c190.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.087,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84bd…34d0backed Hernan Casanova40c180.75$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.310829.6%32 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x866b…7762backed Juan Bautista Torres62c172.37$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.851136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Hernan Casanova39c162.81$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.589859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Juan Bautista Torres61c160.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4438664%247 W · 139 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Juan Bautista Torres63c155.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4352155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Hernan Casanova37c150.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8713050.8%66 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Hernan Casanova24c144.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5748650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Hernan Casanova13c142.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.642,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Juan Bautista Torres60c135$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd85a…1d03backed Juan Bautista Torres74c133.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5910571.4%75 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Hernan Casanova33c122.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3172542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Juan Bautista Torres60c118.2$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.933,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Hernan Casanova41c117.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2318258.8%107 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Hernan Casanova22c112.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7828247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…4bcdbacked Hernan Casanova25c106.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7414333.6%48 W · 95 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Juan Bautista Torres61c105.02$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9297745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Juan Bautista Torres61c99.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Juan Bautista Torres71c99.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2933364.9%216 W · 117 L-19.4wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-9.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Juan Bautista Torres64c89.03$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0581457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Juan Bautista Torres57c77.94$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4481255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Juan Bautista Torres64c76.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5219055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Hernan Casanova40c72.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.922,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Juan Bautista Torres62c67.38$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.62,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37a0…ec34backed Hernan Casanova37c66.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.531010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-87.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Hernan Casanova31c66.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4856754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Hernan Casanova36c63.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.483,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x63c4…26f2backed Juan Bautista Torres62c62.04$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7617145.6%78 W · 93 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Hernan Casanova26c62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.041,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Juan Bautista Torres79c61.8$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7691880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Juan Bautista Torres59c57.36$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5296755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Hernan Casanova33c55.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2256817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb883…3994backed Hernan Casanova31c54.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8421549.8%107 W · 108 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5647…8237backed Juan Bautista Torres60c53.66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4616560%99 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked Hernan Casanova31c51.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1522550.2%113 W · 112 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Juan Bautista Torres57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.550259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46ea…d849backed Juan Bautista Torres60c48.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5216370.6%115 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa130…e515backed Hernan Casanova40c48.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Juan Bautista Torres63c40.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.864,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Juan Bautista Torres61c39.19$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2814958.4%87 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Hernan Casanova37c36.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3461752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Hernan Casanova36c33.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.157,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Juan Bautista Torres61c32.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.492,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x591f…f067backed Juan Bautista Torres61c32.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.495773.7%42 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Juan Bautista Torres64c30.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0137058.6%217 W · 153 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbba9…0e39backed Juan Bautista Torres71c30.02$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.752259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Juan Bautista Torres75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.545051.8%233 W · 217 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Juan Bautista Torres65c24.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.431,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Juan Bautista Torres80c22.23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4513467.2%90 W · 44 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc86b…1d8ebacked Juan Bautista Torres76c20.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.115062%31 W · 19 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb239…80b4backed Juan Bautista Torres61c19.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.626354%34 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5835…6410backed Juan Bautista Torres71c17.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.071650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfad4…379bbacked Juan Bautista Torres61c16.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.473762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a9…df8cbacked Juan Bautista Torres74c15.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.965855.2%32 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.