Venezuela · resolved market
Will Trump say "Venezuela" 7+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd97caee3ca6b64c273b057104c571068a8ea571fe6e15f348ab2b1bbb41c4c48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bb8…69edbacked No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed No | 56c | 1,029$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 55c | 600$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.77 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +168%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…1aaabacked No | 27c | 526.34$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked No | 39c | 431.55$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…7e87backed Yes | 72c | 418.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.03 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed Yes | 78c | 357.32$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63e…9d66backed No | 58c | 297.48$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 57c | 280$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed No | 50c | 251.3$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 28c | 240.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…2bedbacked No | 42c | 204.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59fb…eceabacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Yes | 79c | 169.28$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37af…e9d2backed No | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…8054backed No | 42c | 140.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…ad91backed Yes | 41c | 125.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…0047backed No | 32c | 115.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…5ccebacked Yes | 63c | 96.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa406…bd18backed Yes | 67c | 93.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc855…1994backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…5f2cbacked Yes | 50c | 80.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…66bcbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +188.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…adcabacked Yes | 49c | 76.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…311abacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b5…d19abacked Yes | 53c | 66.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed6…c4aabacked Yes | 76c | 65.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e05…abc2backed Yes | 25c | 64.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…ec34backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a11…09b6backed Yes | 53c | 59.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 57cpaid | -73%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x569f…5561backed Yes | 73c | 58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…e59dbacked Yes | 54c | 54.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 34cpaid | +220.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d73…3639backed No | 59c | 52.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…6f84backed Yes | 66c | 45.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 43c | 40.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked Yes | 54c | 37.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…8688backed Yes | 39c | 37.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…5fc8backed Yes | 59c | 35.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb047…3cb4backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 37c | 31.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +49%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 56c | 30.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…6715backed Yes | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc347…97bdbacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed Yes | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…3f7dbacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0119…f1fbbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83a…f4e7backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…7424backed Yes | 69c | 21.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…21cdbacked Yes | 54c | 20.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e14…86f0backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…852fbacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…d27fbacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5260…fd71backed Yes | 69c | 18.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…39b1backed No | 61c | 18.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171e…b4b6backed Yes | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Venezuela" 7+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?this page
- Will Trump say "Biden" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Border" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Doug" or "Burgum" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Drill" or "Drilling" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Gallon" or "Barrel" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Hottest" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Illegal" during oil executive meetings on Friday?No won
- Will Trump say "Invest" or "Investment" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Dictator" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Minnesota" or "ICE" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Oil" 15+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Russia" or "Russian" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Sanction" during oil executive meetings on Friday?No won
- Will Trump say "Stolen" or "Steal" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Tariff" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.