Venezuela · resolved market
Will Trump say "Gallon" or "Barrel" during oil executive meetings on Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeab61ebc25df8a84a4aa6298de9503cb9cfe8c6cd290724005a4e257f9df26e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 45c | 580.89$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 60c | 493.29$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.58 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 36c | 236.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Yes | 72c | 227.95$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…3e12backed No | 41c | 171.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 57c | 111$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +49%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…00e6backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…10c4backed No | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 31c | 99.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed No | 11c | 99.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +453.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…4da8backed No | 37c | 83.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 63c | 82.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed Yes | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 39c | 67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked No | 37c | 61.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…49e3backed No | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 56c | 50.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04f5…e53ebacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed No | 22c | 49.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc347…97bdbacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb85…510abacked Yes | 69c | 47.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…5308backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fb…eceabacked Yes | 58c | 37.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ae…e240backed Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…66bcbacked Yes | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +188.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd83a…f4e7backed Yes | 63c | 31.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked Yes | 69c | 29.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…61dcbacked Yes | 63c | 26.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920c…01e5backed No | 39c | 26.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4714…c177backed Yes | 76c | 26.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…845dbacked Yes | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd250…fb43backed Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…4ab1backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca84…30ffbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Gallon" or "Barrel" during oil executive meetings on Friday?this page
- Will Trump say "Biden" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Border" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Doug" or "Burgum" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Drill" or "Drilling" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Hottest" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Illegal" during oil executive meetings on Friday?No won
- Will Trump say "Invest" or "Investment" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Dictator" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Minnesota" or "ICE" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Oil" 15+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Russia" or "Russian" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Sanction" during oil executive meetings on Friday?No won
- Will Trump say "Stolen" or "Steal" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Tariff" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Venezuela" 7+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.