Venezuela · resolved market
Will Trump say "Invest" or "Investment" during oil executive meetings on Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95192adadce4fb0036f0ecfadc3bf1992a403d7e879528f84311a598bb963e1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39de…f1abbacked No | 0c | 3,347$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…3e12backed No | 30c | 1,262$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 73c | 970.05$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 23c | 949.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…b4c7backed Yes | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed No | 47c | 645.22$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.17 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 45c | 533.21$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.3 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 64c | 400$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 27c | 348$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 28c | 344.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed No | 36c | 288.74$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 73c | 281.43$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…8054backed No | 32c | 272$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…3803backed No | 50c | 270$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc855…1994backed Yes | 75c | 268.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…7e87backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…6fc0backed No | 28c | 225$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb796…58a8backed Yes | 71c | 200.05$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0598…25fbbacked No | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 64c | 166.77$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 69c | 147.33$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x556b…d83cbacked Yes | 68c | 143.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a8…2db7backed Yes | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…5ccebacked No | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked Yes | 78c | 136.59$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37af…e9d2backed No | 23c | 109.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x569f…5561backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…3dccbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 20c | 98.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaace…4d5abacked No | 31c | 97.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…66bcbacked Yes | 52c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +188.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…55a9backed Yes | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 77c | 73.73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…0854backed No | 36c | 71.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…8688backed No | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8e…97adbacked Yes | 78c | 66.19$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05e…dbb9backed Yes | 75c | 60.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 52c | 59.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…6995backed No | 34c | 53.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…919dbacked Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…852fbacked Yes | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed No | 30c | 39.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +49%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked No | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked Yes | 69c | 29.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd83a…f4e7backed Yes | 70c | 28.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed No | 48c | 25.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cd…fe7dbacked Yes | 73c | 24.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x346e…06a9backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…5308backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71aa…dc0cbacked Yes | 68c | 16.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Invest" or "Investment" during oil executive meetings on Friday?this page
- Will Trump say "Biden" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Border" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Doug" or "Burgum" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Drill" or "Drilling" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Gallon" or "Barrel" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Hottest" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Illegal" during oil executive meetings on Friday?No won
- Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Dictator" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Minnesota" or "ICE" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Oil" 15+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Russia" or "Russian" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Sanction" during oil executive meetings on Friday?No won
- Will Trump say "Stolen" or "Steal" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Tariff" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Venezuela" 7+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.