Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Panna Udvardy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x803169fab8468f5863266968d8b6bd28aa6ba78f94d343bc3caa68677c24bd1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mirra Andreevaof Mirra Andreeva, Panna Udvardy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Panna Udvardy | 9c | 32,894$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.67 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Panna Udvardy | 5c | 7,860$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.76 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Panna Udvardy | 3c | 7,130$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.63 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Panna Udvardy | 10c | 3,999$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.39 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Panna Udvardy | 13c | 3,299$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.13 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Panna Udvardy | 4c | 2,815$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panna Udvardy | 3c | 2,698$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Panna Udvardy | 1c | 1,604$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Panna Udvardy | 6c | 1,565$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Panna Udvardy | 14c | 1,520$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.63 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Panna Udvardy | 7c | 988.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Panna Udvardy | 6c | 968.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Panna Udvardy | 6c | 943.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Panna Udvardy | 12c | 935.94$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.81 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Panna Udvardy | 5c | 921.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…ec34backed Panna Udvardy | 6c | 910.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Panna Udvardy | 8c | 791.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 360 | 32.5%117 W · 243 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…319bbacked Panna Udvardy | 14c | 734.36$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2642…bfc4backed Panna Udvardy | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Panna Udvardy | 20c | 476$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 123 | 26.8%33 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Panna Udvardy | 10c | 425.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Panna Udvardy | 13c | 354.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Panna Udvardy | 11c | 348.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Panna Udvardy | 7c | 336.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Panna Udvardy | 5c | 299.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 569 | 27.2%155 W · 414 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Panna Udvardy | 6c | 295.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Panna Udvardy | 8c | 287.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b9…9b4abacked Panna Udvardy | 7c | 273.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…6258backed Panna Udvardy | 13c | 254.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Panna Udvardy | 5c | 236.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Panna Udvardy | 7c | 215.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…4469backed Panna Udvardy | 14c | 203.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa564…e6f3backed Panna Udvardy | 9c | 199.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Panna Udvardy | 15c | 189.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…3b43backed Panna Udvardy | 18c | 184.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 175 | 49.7%87 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Panna Udvardy | 6c | 179$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 336 | 47.3%159 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Panna Udvardy | 9c | 157.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Panna Udvardy | 9c | 149.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Panna Udvardy | 12c | 145.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Panna Udvardy | 15c | 133.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Panna Udvardy | 16c | 132.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Panna Udvardy | 14c | 105.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Panna Udvardy | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…c056backed Panna Udvardy | 13c | 99.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Panna Udvardy | 17c | 80.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Panna Udvardy | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Mirra Andreeva | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Panna Udvardythis page
- Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Udvardy (+1.5)Andreeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.