La Liga · resolved market
Will Atletico Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa38d137a148c4b1ec0e5a5bce42e130391bcc8086f93b4a42fb93870456fc720
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2c0…2699backed No | 1c | 8,533$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 1,971$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked No | 1c | 1,945$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2d…4094backed No | 3c | 1,853$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…96cfbacked No | 15c | 1,243$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 34c | 883.61$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed No | 2c | 798.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…d36fbacked No | 6c | 766.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 38c | 657.09$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.14 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Yes | 67c | 525.61$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2538…b223backed No | 3c | 511.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4c…cc45backed No | 5c | 463$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…ec34backed Yes | 72c | 416.41$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…4d1ebacked No | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a9…b00bbacked No | 5c | 270$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 10c | 269.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 5c | 219.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bd…57adbacked No | 5c | 208$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked Yes | 52c | 196$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked No | 35c | 170.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf47a…114fbacked No | 6c | 162.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…61e6backed No | 8c | 145.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Yes | 56c | 135$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 34c | 95.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe097…d399backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1d…0a71backed Yes | 70c | 71.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 38c | 54.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 49c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No | 34c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked Yes | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atletico Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?this page
- Will Alaves finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Athletic Bilbao finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Barcelona finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Betis finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Celta Vigo finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Elche finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Espanyol finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Levante finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Mallorca finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Real Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Real Sociedad finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Sevilla finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Valencia finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.