La Liga · resolved market
Will Espanyol finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58b372443f0e36b9aa1d4cf0ac87afd2b35022d651d5c8483412c5d01c4213f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,361 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 21c | 1,200$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 79c | 875.38$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.83 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…d36fbacked Yes | 6c | 340$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 78c | 285$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 19c | 228.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa2…11e8backed No | 79c | 188.61$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…3015backed Yes | 13c | 162.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Espanyol finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?this page
- Will Alaves finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Athletic Bilbao finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Atletico Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Barcelona finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Betis finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Celta Vigo finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Elche finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Levante finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Mallorca finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Real Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Real Sociedad finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Sevilla finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Valencia finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.