La Liga · resolved market
Will Elche finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bf8c8a49d597193dcc1d3921b68bcf357dcf14f61eebb314b2ca26df92c6b70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,359 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 11,928$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ea…b3a5backed Yes | 4c | 3,584$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03be…75a5backed Yes | 4c | 3,120$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x069e…ee95backed Yes | 4c | 2,430$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…5899backed Yes | 4c | 1,722$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aed…3b84backed Yes | 4c | 1,485$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…5106backed Yes | 4c | 1,152$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710e…f6b8backed Yes | 5c | 1,089$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010c…d43bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,038$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c1…4c92backed Yes | 5c | 1,026$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cb…ee8ebacked Yes | 5c | 868$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f87…7c0abacked Yes | 4c | 618$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb9…776ebacked Yes | 4c | 408$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6977…80a4backed Yes | 4c | 312$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…3585backed No | 59c | 65.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elche finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?this page
- Will Alaves finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Athletic Bilbao finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Atletico Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Barcelona finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Betis finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Celta Vigo finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Espanyol finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Levante finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Mallorca finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Real Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Real Sociedad finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Sevilla finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Valencia finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.