Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a499e028f3cd6c31a654518da842aed2d1f5961b26513f15cf4299ecc83280f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $469,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $450,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $469,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 675 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Yes | 14c | 50,262$6,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,391.03 | 138 | 15.9%22 W · 116 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 8c | 8,963$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,203.08 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked No | 68c | 3,106$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 51c | 3,060$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.33 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 22c | 3,023$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.57 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a2…048ebacked No | 43c | 2,987$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…ef1bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,578$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +1,989%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e47…21fcbacked Yes | 2c | 2,553$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +1,996.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97fc…229ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,500$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.29 | 135 | 11.9%16 W · 119 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…ab06backed Yes | 3c | 2,438$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +681.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 2,290$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.02 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 15c | 2,230$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.63 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef9…42b3backed Yes | 2c | 2,201$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.98per pick | 2cpaid | +4,070.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…21ffbacked Yes | 3c | 2,066$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,025%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x909a…f13cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,056$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 3cpaid | +1,297.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…c0f3backed Yes | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…f478backed Yes | 2c | 1,924$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +1,983.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 10c | 1,834$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.67 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Yes | 3c | 1,788$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.65 | 135 | 13.3%18 W · 117 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…be8ebacked No | 12c | 1,766$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.6 | 232 | 12.1%28 W · 204 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 7c | 1,674$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.63 | 846 | 16.4%139 W · 707 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c02…fc66backed Yes | 3c | 1,668$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +941.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084a…f750backed Yes | 2c | 1,636$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 3cpaid | +1,294.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 49c | 1,501$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.25 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 11c | 1,250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.65 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -83%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…c29ebacked No | 27c | 1,129$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.72 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce7…33ecbacked Yes | 3c | 1,084$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +1,823.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…d03bbacked No | 23c | 1,076$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb86…1a3abacked No | 78c | 1,026$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1efe…b1d1backed Yes | 3c | 992$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +1,823.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 9c | 973.71$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.17 | 118 | 9.3%11 W · 107 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0c…df3cbacked No | 76c | 899.99$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.29 | 280 | 34.3%96 W · 184 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x636c…1cc3backed Yes | 3c | 895$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,746.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…0745backed No | 43c | 883$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff40…c553backed Yes | 3c | 873$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +1,462.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…b880backed Yes | 3c | 866$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,746.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4af8…ec2cbacked Yes | 3c | 863$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +941.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…8d02backed Yes | 39c | 860$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.58 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ea…5d02backed Yes | 3c | 854$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +1,462.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…cf18backed Yes | 72c | 846.53$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.02 | 886 | 10.3%91 W · 795 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…8aa5backed Yes | 3c | 844$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,025%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68fc…55d3backed Yes | 8c | 842.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.27 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…f09abacked Yes | 3c | 837$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,925.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 44c | 818.08$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.67 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7043…80afbacked Yes | 3c | 814$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 5cpaid | +941.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…5afcbacked Yes | 3c | 801$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,025%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2355…c79dbacked Yes | 3c | 801$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,025%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbf…3b98backed Yes | 3c | 792$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 4cpaid | +1,182.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x396b…4c0abacked Yes | 3c | 764$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,025%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…87c3backed Yes | 22c | 744.32$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.15 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…1b5bbacked No | 24c | 718.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.52 | 149 | 28.2%42 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…60ecbacked Yes | 3c | 701$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,746.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 61c | 685.79$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.97 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 20c | 664.73$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8879…bc0bbacked Yes | 3c | 661$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +1,823.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 646.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.26 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8589…4f12backed Yes | 12c | 631$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +309.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e28…6b75backed Yes | 12c | 623$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +726.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…b622backed Yes | 3c | 618$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,025%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f16…e68cbacked Yes | 19c | 616$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +434.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98d…f4d5backed Yes | 22c | 613$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11c…4c94backed Yes | 12c | 599$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +380.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfc…148dbacked Yes | 12c | 597$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +726.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d49…ccdbbacked Yes | 3c | 589$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +1,462.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80b…1a60backed Yes | 12c | 588$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +313.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…bc18backed Yes | 12c | 568$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +726.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…5c34backed Yes | 22c | 566$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab47…313fbacked Yes | 26c | 564$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +283.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2a…be9ebacked Yes | 18c | 545$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +443.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…47b4backed Yes | 12c | 545$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +313.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf323…b5f5backed Yes | 12c | 540$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +371.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a8…5e7fbacked Yes | 22c | 536$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09bc…7acfbacked Yes | 22c | 536$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +350.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…f411backed Yes | 12c | 533$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +313.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf096…28a8backed Yes | 64c | 530.82$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.7 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…294fbacked Yes | 19c | 525$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +429.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a0…b77fbacked Yes | 19c | 520$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +418.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Yes | 18c | 515.61$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.92 | 178 | 24.7%44 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8a…a184backed No | 79c | 510$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…319abacked Yes | 20c | 510$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +395%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf856…8347backed Yes | 13c | 507$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +665.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…8ae8backed Yes | 10c | 505$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +460.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd1…1ba7backed Yes | 26c | 502$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +280.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6778…226abacked No | 80c | 500$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e56…90f8backed Yes | 4c | 500$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +471.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…0c07backed Yes | 77c | 499.97$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86d…ec9fbacked Yes | 14c | 498$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +609.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…471dbacked Yes | 12c | 482$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…5865backed Yes | 18c | 472$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +461.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65f…40a2backed Yes | 24c | 468$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b55…90fcbacked Yes | 12c | 466$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +303.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…7145backed Yes | 4c | 464.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,222%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5f…ceadbacked Yes | 20c | 464$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +392.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…5a54backed Yes | 22c | 462$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +212.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b3…ba97backed Yes | 19c | 459$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +420.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a3…c59dbacked Yes | 12c | 450$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +740.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…aa49backed No | 78c | 448$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf749…3952backed Yes | 26c | 445$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 3c | 444.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.84 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b8…4c10backed Yes | 11c | 442$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +428.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 58 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1520-1559 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1560-1599 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1600-1679 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.