CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48d2c99d29adb50fa367a411add85e554b64a1e7d2eb20ba816388248bf7f1f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof FOKUS, Wildcard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,336 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed FOKUS | 68c | 2,508$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Wildcard | 33c | 2,275$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.52 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wildcard | 36c | 1,573$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.07 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…6daabacked Wildcard | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed FOKUS | 65c | 1,461$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.69 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Wildcard | 31c | 1,135$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.74 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked FOKUS | 64c | 940.06$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.06 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed FOKUS | 67c | 929.1$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.6 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Wildcard | 33c | 900$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed FOKUS | 63c | 880.62$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.31 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wildcard | 36c | 860.19$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.07 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Wildcard | 38c | 755.97$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.22 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Wildcard | 36c | 699.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Wildcard | 27c | 649.8$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.47 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Wildcard | 36c | 599.69$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.89 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked Wildcard | 14c | 530.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.34 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Wildcard | 20c | 472.26$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS | 80c | 440.92$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.39 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed FOKUS | 63c | 435$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.95 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FOKUS | 61c | 407.19$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.8 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…44c3backed FOKUS | 64c | 388.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.79 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Wildcard | 33c | 338.87$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.83 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed FOKUS | 65c | 308.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.17 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed FOKUS | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…2811backed FOKUS | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed FOKUS | 66c | 303.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.26 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Wildcard | 38c | 300$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.54 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Wildcard | 34c | 300$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Wildcard | 21c | 282$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed FOKUS | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…abc5backed FOKUS | 68c | 250.79$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked FOKUS | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Wildcard | 35c | 248$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.92 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Wildcard | 13c | 199.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Wildcard | 30c | 189.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked Wildcard | 30c | 183.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Wildcard | 35c | 175$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8e…ca2ebacked FOKUS | 77c | 169.78$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FOKUS | 65c | 154.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc939…6e0fbacked FOKUS | 65c | 154.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed FOKUS | 67c | 149.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed FOKUS | 63c | 137.87$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 153 | 58.2%89 W · 64 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked FOKUS | 68c | 135$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed FOKUS | 78c | 113.63$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed FOKUS | 70c | 106.39$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked FOKUS | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9754…fb93backed Wildcard | 23c | 96.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…0d42backed Wildcard | 35c | 91.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Wildcard | 36c | 87.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…629fbacked FOKUS | 63c | 78.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Wildcard | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Wildcard | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed Wildcard | 30c | 55.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…7876backed FOKUS | 67c | 50.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Wildcard | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -13.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Wildcard | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked FOKUS | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed FOKUS | 63c | 47.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed FOKUS | 63c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Wildcard | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed FOKUS | 66c | 44.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed FOKUS | 65c | 43.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…ec13backed FOKUS | 65c | 40.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed FOKUS | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Wildcard | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed FOKUS | 60c | 28.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed FOKUS | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa336…9ebcbacked FOKUS | 70c | 22.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed FOKUS | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FOKUS | 79c | 18.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked FOKUS | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a12…6450backed FOKUS | 79c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…c1f3backed FOKUS | 80c | 13.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.